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After the oil selloff, we await progress on Strait of Hormuz flow

Tuesday, oil prices recovered after a sharp drop the previous session. This was supported by a tempered optimism about the U.S.-Iran Peace Talks. Investors awaited more clear signs of progress on restoring crude flow through the 'Strait Of Hormuz.

Brent crude futures rose 24 cents or 0.38% to $78.15 per barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate was up 33 cents or 0.46% at 0026 GMT.

Prices dropped more than 3% after the United States granted Iran 60 days of sanctions relief following initial peace talks. Officials also reported that the hostilities had ceased in Lebanon as a result of the wider agreement.

The development came after a weekend which appeared to have put the week-old agreement in danger, with threats by U.S. president Donald Trump that he would restart the war if Iran disrupted the shipping through the Strait of Hormuz following Tehran's declaration of the strategic waterway as closed.

Tim Waterer is the chief market analyst for KCM Trade. He said that there was a "prevailing" scepticism about oil prices, which stemmed from a deep-seated distrust between Washington and Tehran. This suggests that any return to prices comparable to those of pre-war will be delayed, rather than immediate.

Trump stated in a Monday post on Truth Social that Iran would agree to weapons inspections as a way to ensure "nuclear integrity."

Trump told reporters that if Iran didn't follow through on their agreement or they weren't behaving properly, he would do whatever he had to.

Waterer said that the market had already priced in optimism about the Strait of Hormuz and its potential reopening. However, traders are now taking more of a measured approach while they wait for concrete evidence to show the deal is going to hold and traffic will return.

Ship-tracking data showed that two crude tankers carrying just under 2,000,000 barrels of oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz Monday. This was a sign of increased traffic after Sunday's lower flows due to concerns about?passage of the waterway.

The Department of Energy reported on Monday that U.S. crude oil stocks in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve dropped to 331.2 million barrels, the lowest level since June 1983. This was due to the tightening of supplies following the U.S. - Iran conflict. Reporting by Pranav Mathur in Bengaluru, editing by Jacqueline Wong

(source: Reuters)