Latest News

Oil prices continue to fall as stocks drop on the hopes of a US-Iran peace agreement

U.S. stocks and European shares fell on Thursday, while oil prices dropped again amid optimism about a U.S. Iran peace deal. However, the fate of the Strait of 'Hormuz' remained unclear.

Wall Street's major stock indices have retreated from their previous multiple records, despite strong earnings by chipmakers. The S&P 500 dropped 0.3%. The Nasdaq Composite remained unchanged, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.5%.

Sources and officials reported on Thursday that the United States and Iran were moving toward a temporary, limited agreement to end their war. The draft framework would put an end to the fighting, but leave unresolved the most controversial issues.

The STOXX Europe 600 index fell by 1.1% after a 2.2% jump on Wednesday. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan also hit a new all-time record. Last up 1.6%. The Nikkei 225 index of Japan crossed 62,000 points for the first-time as trading resumed following a long holiday weekend.

Samy Chaar, chief economist at Lombard Odier, said that while the Middle East situation is uncertain, "the market momentum is moving in a positive direction", and they have taken notice.

He said: "The oil price is down from its peak, which relieves pressure on bond yields and yield curves. This is good news for the equity market and causes currencies to move a little bit."

Chaar said that a strong earnings season and a macroeconomic climate with a moderate level of robustness contributed to the positive mood in the market. MSCI's All-Country World Index remained stable, but was still near record highs.

OIL UNDER $97 A Barrel

Brent crude fell about 1%, to $100.39 per barrel after falling nearly 8% Wednesday.

Brent oil is still 40% higher than it was in late February, when the conflict started, despite the recent decline. Meanwhile, 10-year Treasury yields are surging, a sign of the pressure that energy prices continue to place on the global economic system. The 10-year Treasury yields fell by 1.8 basis point to 4.378% on the day.

Nick Twidale said that the market is grappling with execution risk. "Both in terms of whether or not a deal has been finalised, and how quickly disrupted flow would normalize, even if they have."

In March, the global market was shook by a spike in oil prices. However, a fragile truce and the prospect of a settlement have fueled a rally that is based on risk. This rally has been fueled since April by strong tech earnings reports.

S&P COMPANIES set for ROBUST PROFIT GROWTH

S&P 500 companies on track to achieve their highest profit growth in?more than four years. Meanwhile, Samsung, SK Hynix, and TSMC's dazzling results have reinforced the positive tone in Asia.

Manish Kabra wrote in a Thursday client note that "U.S. earnings confirmed a broad profit boom. Record EPS (earnings-per-share) beats, record-high margins, and sharply improved '26 growth expectation." A survey of economists indicates that investors are waiting for the U.S. Non-farm Payrolls Report on Friday. The report is expected to show a 62,000 increase in jobs in April after a 178,000 rise in March. The euro was last trading at $1.1759 on the currency markets. The dollar index, which compares the U.S. money to six other currencies, fell a little at 97.98. The yen remains a hot topic after recent spikes prompted speculation on the market that Tokyo intervened in order to support this battered currency. The yen remained unchanged at 156.58 to the dollar after hitting a 10-week-high of 155.

(source: Reuters)