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After Powell's comments, US yields rise and stocks recover from their early dip

Investors reacted to the latest U.S. trade war and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's signal of a cautious approach for rate reductions. The yields on U.S. Treasury bonds rose as well.

Donald Trump raised the tariffs on imports of steel and aluminum to 25%, up from 10%. He also eliminated product-specific exemptions and country exclusions.

Trump said that he would consider an exemption for Australia, and that the steel-and-aluminum measures will only come into effect on March 4. This has led some investors to believe that the duties were being used as a negotiation tool.

Mexico, Canada, and the European Union condemned the move on Tuesday, the EU stating that the 27-nation block would take "firm, proportionate countermeasures".

S&P 500 index on Wall Street eked out an elusive gain, as it erased earlier losses. Powell said the Fed was not in a hurry to change its policy and that it would only react to the impact of tariffs or trade policies on the economy.

Tariff talks are ongoing, and there is a high level of global tension. "Valuations have risen, company guidance has been measured, inflation persists, government policy remains uncertain, and tariff talks are continuing. "The level of uncertainty in the market is high which means that volatility will increase," said Terry Sandven. Chief equity strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management.

Coca-Cola's quarterly results were released and the Dow Industrials gained nearly 5%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 123.24 or 0.28% to 44,593.65. The S&P 500 gained 2.06 or 0.03% to 6,068.50. And the Nasdaq Composite dropped 70.41 or 0.36% to 19,643.86.

The MSCI index of global stocks rose by 0.2 points, or 0.02% to 873.99.

The pan-European STOXX 600 rose by 0.23%, closing at a new record high. Bank stocks were the main contributors.

Investors' attention now turns to Wednesday's latest consumer price reading, which will provide the latest information on Treasury yields.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes has risen 4 basis points, to 4.535%. This is its longest streak of gains since a month.

The markets have been reducing their expectations of rate cuts by the U.S. Central Bank this year. They are largely expecting that the Fed will hold rates at its meetings in March and May. According to CME's FedWatch tool, the markets have priced in a 51% probability of a rate cut in June. This is down from 63.6% one week ago.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback in relation to a basket) fell by 0.41%, falling to 107.92. Meanwhile, the euro rose 0.53%, reaching $1.0361.

The dollar gained 0.31% against the Japanese yen to 152.46, while the pound rose 0.62% to 1.2443.

Helen Given, a FX trader with Monex USA in Washington, said: "We have seen a lot volatility in the headlines about tariffs over the past two weeks."

But what we are seeing is that headlines and announcements do not necessarily indicate that tariffs will be levied at the time we thought they would.

The oil price rose to its highest level in two weeks on the back of Russian and Iranian supply worries, but the announcement about tariffs curtailed gains a little.

U.S. crude oil settled at $73.32 per barrel, an increase of 1.38% for the day. Brent crude closed at $77 a barrel, an increase of 1.38%.

(source: Reuters)