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In first take a look at 2026, OPEC anticipates continuous oil need growth

OPEC forecast on Wednesday world oil demand in 2026 will increase at a similar rate to this year, while reducing its figure for 2024 for a 6th time, following financial weakness in China, the world's biggest importer of oil.

The 2026 projection remains in line with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries' view oil use will rise for the next twenty years, in contrast to the West's International Energy Firm that predicts it will peak this decade as the world shifts to cleaner energy.

OPEC, in a month-to-month report, stated need will increase by 1.43 million barrels each day in 2026, a comparable rate to the development of 1.45 million bpd anticipated this year. The 2026 prediction is OPEC's first in its regular monthly report.

Transport fuels are set to drive 2026 oil demand growth, with flight expected to see continued expansion, as both worldwide and domestic traffic continues to increase, OPEC stated in the report.

A table in the report put 2024 demand development at 1.5 million bpd, compared with 1.61 million bpd listed in last month's. report, amounting to a sixth consecutive cut in the 2024. projection. In July 2024, OPEC anticipated world demand would increase by. 2.25 million bpd in 2024.

OPEC's view as needed is at the upper end of industry. projections. Earlier on Wednesday, the IEA forecast slower world. oil need growth in 2025 of 1.05 million bpd.

(source: Reuters)