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Italy's power users pay the cost for high reliance on gas: Maguire

Italy's average wholesale power rates have actually been the greatest among major European markets for the previous three years, elevated by a. considerably higher reliance on natural gas for electrical energy. generation than competing economies.

Wholesale power prices in Italy averaged 127 euros. ($ 137.80) per megawatt hour in 2023, according to LSEG, which. was a third more than the average power rates in Germany and. France last year, and over 50% higher than the typical rate in. Spain.

Italy's power expenses have actually climbed up even more above some secret. competing economies so far in 2024, with wholesale prices last month. averaging nearly 40% above prices in France and 60% more than. wholesale rates in Spain.

Such a stiff power cost premium over regional equivalents. has injured major power consumers in Italy, specifically industry and. large makers, a few of which have actually been forced to cut. energy usage and production over the past year or two to avoid. acquiring steep financial losses.

GAS RELIANCE

Italy's relatively greater dependence on natural gas for. electrical power generation was a crucial chauffeur behind the raised. power expenses.

The share of natural gas in Italy's electrical power generation. mix in 2023 was just over 45%, compared to 6% in France, 15% in. Germany and 23% in Spain, data from think tank Ember shows.

Such a high reliance on natural gas means Italy's. utilities have had little scope to dispatch other kinds of power. for generation, even with annual boosts in eco-friendly power. production in the nation.

This in turn has actually meant that as regional gas rates. have soared because Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022, and. replacement products in the kind of melted gas (LNG). imports and alternate pipelines have actually likewise leapt in cost,. Italy's power firms have actually needed to pass on those greater expenses to. consumers.

Some large energy customers, especially industry, have. balked at paying sharply greater power expenses, and instead reduced. overall energy usage - and organization output.

This in turn permitted power companies to cut electrical power output. from natural gas-fired power plants to the lowest considering that 2015. in 2015, and coal-fired output to the most affordable in three years,. while raising the percentage of renewables in the general. generation mix.

Moving forward, nevertheless, any sustained boost in total. electricity generation levels will require utilities to burn. more gas in power stations, exposing them to prospective further. hikes in power costs.

BREAKING THE FOSSIL FIX

Fossil fuels have accounted for approximately 60% of overall. electrical power generation in Italy over the previous decade, with. natural gas alone accounting for around 50% in the last few years.

Up until 2019, thermal coal had actually represented an extra 12%. to 15% of electrical energy output, but contamination decrease efforts. resulted in the closure of some outdated coal plants which served to. push coal's share of the electricity generation mix to a record. low of 5.3% in 2023.

Minimized coal-fired output has forced power firms to. even more boost their reliance on gas as the main pillar of the. country's power system, even as gas prices climbed in the wake. of the Russia-Ukraine war.

Italy's power companies have actually likewise tried to boost electrical energy. generation from other sources, with solar generation up by 37%. and wind generation up by 34% since 2018, Ember data programs.

Hydro centers likewise play an essential function in clean power. generation in Italy, and in 2023 accounted for 15% of overall. electricity output.

Hydro output levels can be unstable due to. droughts, such as in 2022 when overall hydro generation dropped to. the most affordable in over 20 years and represented just 10% of total. electrical power output.

Such unforeseeable output from hydro plants, along with the. periodic generation from solar and wind farms, means that. Italy's power firms are not likely to be able to cut their usage of. gas for baseload generation any time quickly.

And that, in turn, suggests any further increases in regional. natural gas rates may keep Italy's power costs greater than in. elsewhere in Europe.

<< The viewpoints revealed here are those of the author, a. columnist .>> . ($ 1 = 0.9217 euros)

(source: Reuters)