Latest News

Brent oil market structure tightens up on supply issues

The structure of the criteria Brent crude oil futures market on Wednesday reached its widest because August 2024, reflecting concern of tightening supply and expectations of a revival in Chinese need.

The premium of the first-month Brent contract to the six-month contract << LCOc1-LCOc7 > broadened to $3.05 a barrel on Wednesday, the most since late August. The premium has risen by more than 50% so far this year.

Oil output from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Nations fell in December, partly due to losses in Iran, a. Reuters survey revealed. Concern of tighter supply from Iran and. Russia due to sanctions is also increasing costs, experts stated.

It looks as though sanctions might be working and the. mix of decreasing Iranian and russian exports supports. the structure, stated Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM.

A widening of the premium, a structure called backwardation,. typically shows a perception of tighter timely supply. The. opposite structure, where rates for nearby delivery are. more affordable, suggests ample supply and is called contango.

The tighter crude market is unmistakenly mirrored in the. deepening Brent backwardation, Varga included.

In an additional indicator of tightness, the premium of the. first-month Brent agreement to the 2nd month << LCOc1-LCOc2 > has. practically doubled this year, increasing from 40 cents a barrel on Dec. 31 to as much as 75 cents on Wednesday.

(source: Reuters)