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Aluminum prices fall as Middle East fears about supply ease

Aluminum?prices fell on Monday, as traders reported that fears had diminished about the possibility of a wider conflict arising from the weekend's?tit for tat strikes between Iran and the U.S.

Benchmark 'aluminum' on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.5% to $3,163 per metric ton as of 0954 GMT.

On Tuesday, talks will resume in Qatar regarding the dispute between Washington and Tehran over the Strait of Hormuz. This is a major shipping route.

Britannia Global Markets stated in a report that "the situation is still fluid, and any new disruption could quickly tighten the availability of... aluminum."

The suspension of the trade across the Strait caused a'significant disruption to the aluminium market.

The Middle East is home to 9% of the global aluminum smelting capacities. Prices soared to $3,787.50 in early March, the highest they've been since March 2022, due to disruptions in supply. Prices of metals used in construction, transport and packaging have fallen 16% since then.

The premium for the LME cash aluminium contract has dropped from a 19 year high to a discount. .

Support for aluminum is at the 200-day moving median, which is currently around $3.160. On the upside, resistance is found at the 100-day Moving Average around $3.410.

Metals markets in other countries are focusing on the dollar's higher value, which makes metals priced in dollars more expensive for holders with other currencies.

Dollar is on track to?have its biggest monthly gain in the past year. This is due to the growing likelihood of rate increases?in America, as a result of inflationary pressures.

Alastair Munro is a senior base metals analyst at broker Marex. He said that a hawkish U.S. rate backdrop initially drove the sell-off across the?energys and precious spaces before the industrial metals suite came under pressure last weekend.

Three-month copper fell 0.2%?to $13,335 per ton. Zinc slipped by 0.2%?to $3,466,?lead rose 0.2%?to $1,907?tin?climbed by 0.3%?to $50,720?and nickel?lost 0.3%?to $16,635.

This week, China's top industrial metal consumer will release its manufacturing PMIs. Reporting by Pratima Dasai. Mark Potter edited the article.

(source: Reuters)