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Aluminium hits a three-month low due to fading Gulf risk premium and strong dollar

Aluminium hits a three-month low due to fading Gulf risk premium and strong dollar
Aluminium hits a three-month low due to fading Gulf risk premium and strong dollar

Aluminium prices fell to a three-month low on Wednesday due to a?lower Middle East risk premium, and a stronger U.S. dollar. LME benchmark?aluminum for three months was down 0.76% at $3,208 per metric ton as of 0701 GMT. It had touched $3,191 earlier in the day, the lowest price since March 24. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded aluminium contract lost 1.43% and closed at 23,405 Yuan ($3,439.23). On Wednesday, it fell to 23,320?yuan - its lowest level since March 20. Analysts have predicted that the market will expect the supply of aluminium?from Gulf to normalise following the war-induced production and shipping interruptions, as well as the higher energy costs. However, the resumption of flows is expected to be gradual.

"The peace dividend in?aluminium] primarily consists of a reduction in the level of uncertainty and not a structural 'change in aluminium demand-supply fundamentals,"?Rupankar RM said, head market research at AL Circle.

The U.S. Dollar gained a fifth consecutive day on the back of safe-haven purchases. This made the entire base metals complex – which is mostly traded using the greenback – more expensive for buyers who use other currencies. Dollar has strengthened amid expectations of an increase in U.S. interest rates, amid persistently high inflation. Meanwhile, a selloff in tech-led stocks has clouded the growth outlook.

Borrowing becomes more expensive and dampens demand for metals that are tied to economic growth. Copper rose 0.14% at the LME, but fell 0.56% at the SHFE.

Red metal is a result of?forecasts that demand will be high for AI infrastructure, grid investments and electric vehicles.

Other LME metals saw a decline of 0.69% in?zinc, 0.08% in lead, 2.02% for?nickel and 0.23% for tin.

On the SHFE, nickel, tin, and lead all fell.

(source: Reuters)