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Speculative frenzy catapults silver above $100/oz

Silver prices soared to $100 per ounce in the first week of January, continuing a 2025 surge. Retail investor and momentum-driven purchases added to an extended period of tightness on physical markets.

Technical analysts, who use charts to determine past price movements in order to predict future movement, said that silver's rapid gains were preparing it for a significant correction.

Silver is currently in a frenzy, and the geopolitical risks are a big part of what is driving it. Its lower price is helping silver to benefit, even right now.

She added, "It seems that everyone wants to get involved, but there are also warnings about wealth in amber." When cracks appear, they can easily turn into chasms. "Stabilize yourself."

Silver, which is used for jewellery, electronics, and solar panels as well as investment, was last up 5.1% to $101 per troy-ounce on Friday.

Price has risen by 40% since 2026, after a 147% increase in 2025. Gold reached a record-high of $4,988 an ounce on Saturday.

BofA's Michael Widmer believes that the fundamentally justified price of silver is $60, with solar panel demand likely to have peaked by 2025.

As of Friday, silver will cost 50 ounces to purchase one ounce gold, down from the April figure of 105 ounces.

This is a ratio. Silver's performance over gold is no longer as strong, according to traders and analysts.

INVESTMENT DEMAND

The LSEG data from?1983, which includes silver's growth, shows that the gain of 2025 will be the?largest yearly increase.

Market performance in 2025 will be influenced by a robust investment demand in all precious metals, and a prolonged period of low liquidity on the London benchmark silver market. This is due to fears about U.S. Tariffs which have led to massive inflows into U.S. stocks.

Analysts report that since October, there have been several waves of retail purchases through the purchase of small coins and bars as well as influxes into exchange traded funds with physical silver backing.

Recycling accounts for almost 20% of the total silver supply, which is 1.0 billion ounces. The activity has been boosted by record prices.

Metals Focus, a leading precious metals consultancy, said that inventories are not rebuilding as quickly due to a lack of high-grade refinery capacity.

After five years of structural deficits, which are expected to continue into 2026, the availability of stocks on the market and the secondary supply has become increasingly important.

Metals Focus estimates that these deficits, as well as the outflows of money to the U.S., and the inflows of money to ETFs, saw the amount of gold which could be readily mobilised during periods of high demand, in London's commercial vaults, drop to a new record low of just 136 million ounces at the end of September. By the end of 2025, the stocks would have recovered to 200 million ounces, helping to lower lease rates in London. However, they were still far below the 360 million ounces that were available in London at the peak Reddit-driven rally early in 2021.

WHAT NOW? Analysts anticipate a rapid increase in outflows from U.S. stocks, which will boost liquidity on the traditional markets. This is because Washington did not impose any tariffs after announcing its results in mid-January.

COMEX stocks peaked at 532 millions ounces on October 3, The inventories of metals worth approximately $11 billion have dropped by 114 millions ounces.

COMEX silver stocks need to continue to be sold at a rate of approximately 113 million ounces per year to reach the levels pre-Trump's election.

David Wilson, senior commodities strategist at BNP Paribas, said that profit taking is more likely to occur sooner than later due to the investor-driven rally which has been in place since late November.

(source: Reuters)