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Iron ore reaches 2-week high after China-US truce on trade, but caution limits gains

Iron ore futures prices reached a two-week high Tuesday, supported in part by a temporary U.S. China trade agreement. However, caution about a final agreement and a possible slowdown in near-term demand curbed gains.

As of 0245 GMT, the most traded September iron ore contract at China's Dalian Commodity Exchange was trading 1.56% higher. It was 718 yuan (US$99.82) per metric ton.

The contract reached its highest level since April 24, at 727 Yuan, earlier in the session.

Iron ore benchmark June on the Singapore Exchange fell 0.45%, to $99.55 per ton after reaching its highest level since April 24, at $100.35.

On Monday, the U.S. agreed to reduce tariffs on Chinese imports by 30% over a 90-day period of negotiation. China agreed to lower its duties from 125% down to 10%. This improved investor sentiment, which led to an increase in the number of investors.

Price rally across commodities

The initial excitement faded as the uncertainty of a final agreement between the two countries and the seasonal slowdown in demand led to concerns about a possible slowdown in ore demand over the next few weeks.

Analysts at Shengda Futures wrote in a report that they expect the hot metal production to show signs of a slowdown in mid-to late May.

Analysts at CICC say that the lower hot metal production is expected to coincide when miners increase shipments in order to meet quarterly targets. This will add downward pressure to prices.

The hot metal product is usually used to gauge the demand for iron ore.

On Tuesday, steel benchmarks at the Shanghai Futures Exchange increased. Rebar, hot-rolled coil, wire rod, and stainless steel all gained.

Coking coal and coke, which are both steelmaking ingredients, fell by 0.74% and 0.622% respectively.

(source: Reuters)