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Rio Tinto's quarterly shipment increase results in a loss of iron ore futures
The price of iron ore fell for a fifth consecutive session on Wednesday, as Rio Tinto, world's largest supplier, reported strong shipments during its fourth quarter. Meanwhile, concerns over safety inspections were weighing on the Chinese market. The May contract for iron ore on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange ended the morning trading 0.25% lower, at 784.5 Yuan ($112.63) per metric ton. The benchmark iron?ore for February on the Singapore Exchange fell 0.74%, to $103.2 per ton at?0349 GMT. It had previously touched its lowest level since December 17, when it was $103. Rio?Tinto announced a 7% increase in fourth-quarter shipments of iron ore on Wednesday. This was aided by a record quarterly production?from Pilbara and a strong rail and port?performance. The Chinese iron ore price would be pushed down by an increase in foreign iron ore exports. Concerns about stricter safety regulations following an explosion in a steel-plate factory in Inner Mongolia, China's northern region, fueled fears over the?demand for feedstocks. Mysteel data released on January 21 shows that although hot metal production increased by 22,800 millions of tons from week to week, iron ore transaction volumes at major Chinese ports have been slow. The Shanghai Metals Market said that the overall sentiment was bearish and risk averse. Iron ore prices were seen as facing "resistance" in the short term. Coking coal and coke, which are both steelmaking ingredients, declined by?2.65% apiece. The benchmark steel prices on the Shanghai Futures Exchange fell. Rebar fell 0.42%; hot-rolled coils lost 0.21%; wire rod weakened 0.17, and stainless steel was unchanged. $1 = 6.9653 Yuan (Reporting and editing by Sumana Nady; Ruth Chai)
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Shanghai copper prices drop as SHFE increases margin requirements and demand remains weak
The Shanghai Futures Exchange increased margin requirements on certain copper contracts, which led to a drop in the price of copper in China. As of 0330 GMT, the most-traded metric ton?copper contract traded on SHFE fell 0.65%, down to 100,580 Yuan ($14440.15). However, the benchmark three-month?copper? on the London Metal Exchange gained 0.65%, to $12,836.50 per ton. SHFE announced on Tuesday it will increase the margin ratios for certain metals, including copper, silver, gold, and aluminum futures contracts, and expand daily price limits from January 22, 2019. This?move was widely seen as a way to stabilize the market, since copper prices have seen sharp price swings over the past few weeks after a record-setting rise in 2025. Shanghai copper has gained?1.58% this year after setting a new record of 105.870 yuan per ton. The price of copper was still high, and this pressured the demand. The Yangshan copper is a premium On Tuesday,, an indicator of Chinese?demand, for imported copper was $26 per ton, its lowest level since July 2024. Copper premium is available on the domestic market The price of copper has dropped to 150 yuan per ton. This also indicates a lack in buying interest on the spot market. The?red metal's price was supported by the expectation of a tight supply on the U.S. markets due to tariffs and mine disruptions. Tin was the only gainer in the SHFE base metals. The most-active contract rose 1.79% to 402,600 yuan per ton. On the LME it rose 2.20% to $50,000 a ton. The Indonesian military's crackdown on mining activities in illegally cleared forests continues to unnerve the industry and push up tin price. Aluminium, zinc, and lead all fell in price. Nickel also dropped 1.16%. Aluminium, zinc, lead, and nickel all rose on the LME. Wednesday, January 21, DATA/EVENTS - 0700 UK Core CPI YY December 0700 UK CPI MM Dec 200700 UK CPI Services YY December 0700 UK CPI Services MM - Dec 0700 UK CPI Services YY - Dec 0700 UK CPI Services YY – Dec 1100 UK CBI Q1 Business Optimism
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Bankers: Adani Power to sell largest-ever rupee bonds, say India
Two?merchant banks have confirmed that Gautam Adani, the Indian billionaire Gautam Adani and his power company plan to raise 75 'billion rupees (823.7 millions dollars) at their largest-ever rupee bond sale later this week. Bankers said on Tuesday that Adani 'Power' aims to raise funds by issuing multiple tranches with maturities ranging from two to five years. They also added that the company had invited bids for Friday. The coupon will be 8.00% and 8.20% for the bonds of two and three years, and 8.30% or 8.40% on the papers of four and five years. The coupon is paid on a quarterly basis. Adani Power aims to raise 28,60 billion rupees via the two-year option and 26,90 billion rupees via the three-year paper. Adani Power expects to raise 6.75 billion rupees via the four-year paper and 12.75 billion through the five-year note. The proceeds will be used to fund capital expenditures, working capital, debt repayment, prepayment, and other corporate purposes. Adani Power didn't reply to an email asking for comment. Bankers say that some large mutual funds will act as anchor investors in the issue. This is expected to attract strong demand from banks and other funds. The bonds have been rated "AA" by Crisil and India Ratings. Coupons are set to increase 25 basis points with each notch of rating downgrade. In the first half of this year, Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone raised 50 billion rupees through 15-year bonds placed directly with Life Insurance Corporation of India. $1 = 91.0540 Indian Rupees (Reporting and editing by Dharamraj Dhutia, Khushi malhotra).
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As US and EU fight over Greenland, gold crosses $4,800.
Gold prices surged above $4,800 an ounce Wednesday,?buoyed?by safe-haven demands and a weaker dollar, as U.S. President Donald Trump's pursuit for Greenland threatened a new trade war with Europe, and to upend NATO. Gold spot rose by 1.2%, to $4,821.26 an ounce, at 0226 GMT. It had earlier reached a session high of $4,843.67. U.S. Gold Futures for February Delivery climbed 1% per ounce to $4,813.50 It's the loss of trust in the U.S. that Trump caused over the weekend by his moves to impose tariffs on European countries and to increase his coercion to try to take Greenland. The move in gold reflects concerns about global geopolitical tensions, according to Kyle Rodda. Trump said on Tuesday that he would not "go back" from his plan to take control of Greenland. He refused to rule out the possibility of taking the Arctic Island by force, and slammed?NATO's allies. Later, he said: "We'll?work out something where NATO will be very pleased and where we'll be very satisfied." The French President Emmanuel Macron also said that Europe will not be intimidated or give in to bullies, in a scathing critique of Trump's threats of steep tariffs in Davos if Europe doesn't let him take over Greenland. Rodda stated that investors were selling dollars, selling Treasury bonds, especially at the long end, and instead buying gold because they had more confidence in gold than in U.S. currency. The dollar remained near its three-week lows in relation to the euro and Swiss franc. Asian stocks continued their declines for a third day, while a global debt rout appears to have slowed?for the moment. The greenback price of metals is cheaper for buyers overseas due to the weaker dollar. The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates steady at its meeting on January 27-28, despite Trump's call for reductions. In low-interest rate environments, non-yielding gold bullion performs very well. Silver spot fell 1%, to $93.59 per ounce after reaching a record high on Tuesday of $95.87. The spot platinum price fell 0.7%, to $2,445.96 an ounce, after reaching a record of $2,511.80 earlier in day. Palladium dropped 0.5%, to $1,857.19. (Reporting by Ishaan Arora in Bengaluru; Editing by Sumana Nandy and Subhranshu Sahu)
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Evolution Mining, Australia's gold mining company, posts record-high gold production and shares.
Evolution Mining, a gold producer in Australia, reported an increase in second-quarter production on Wednesday. This was due to strong performances?across virtually all assets. Its shares reached a record high. The shares of the company, which is majority owned by?AustralianSuper, the largest pension fund in the country, rose up to 9.18%, reaching a new record A$14.750. This was their biggest intraday gain percentage since August 14, 2024. Gold miner produced 191,000-ounces of the precious metal in the last quarter of the year. This compares to 174,000-ounces the quarter before. Evolution attributes the increase in output to a strong performance at its Cowal Project in New South Wales. The open-pit mine produced 80.000 ounces of gold during the quarter ending December, up from 71,000 ounces in the previous quarter. The mine produced higher-quality gold, which made underground operations at Cowal smooth. Evolution is the only owner of this mine which has a life expectancy until 2042. Jefferies analysts said Cowal's performance was in line with Visible Alpha estimates. Mungari, a mining hub in Western Australia's underground mines, has logged a record quarterly output of 50,000-ounces. This is the fourth consecutive quarter that production has grown. A historic rise in the global gold price led to a higher quarterly gold 'price' of A$6,206 an ounce for the group. In a note, Jefferies said that, "While 2Q gold production was in line with expectations, it exceeded ours," adding that record gold prices had boosted Evolution's financials. Evolution, based in Sydney, has confirmed its group production forecast for fiscal 2026 of between?710,000 and 780,000 ounces of gold and 70,000-80,000 metric tonnes for copper. The company produced the same amount of copper as it did in the previous quarter. (Reporting by Rajasik Mukherjee; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu)
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Chile's Kast names Quiroz finance minister, taps Pinochet defenders for cabinet
The Chilean President elect Jose Antonio Kast named Jorge Quiroz, an economist, as his finance minister on Tuesday. He is part of a?cabinet that also includes two lawyers who supported dictator Augusto Pinochet. This move has re-ignited tensions about human rights in advance of Kast's inauguration. Kast also named Daniel Mas as the new head of the Mining Ministry. Chile is the second largest lithium and copper producer in the world. Quiroz was already on the list of businessmen that the incoming president had informed. Quiroz was Kast's principal economic advisor. He holds a doctorate in Economics from Duke University, the U.S. Quiroz said Chile's economy is in a "decline" and that it can be improved by addressing security, deregulations, cutting corporate tax, and making?fiscal adjustment. This was an issue that was raised during the presidential election. Mas is a businessman and vice-president of Confederation of Production and Commerce. He has a long and successful career in the private sector. His work includes real estate, construction and financial services. He will also be the minister for economic development. Kast who will be taking office on 11th March, also appointed two attorneys that defended Pinochet a brutal dictator who ruled Chile between 1973 and 1990. Fernando Rabat will now lead the Ministry of Justice and Human Rights. This ministry is still responsible for cases relating to the dictatorship. When rumors of his nomination leaked, human rights groups and families of those killed under Pinochet's rule criticized Rabat. Pinochet died in 2006. Pinochet died in 2006. After Pinochet was arrested in London, England in 1998, the Defense Minister Fernando Barros defended him and fought to free him. Pinochet, who was initially arrested and extradited from Chile to Spain on charges of torture, murder?and crimes against humanity before returning in 2000 for medical reasons. Kast?also named Francisco Perez Mackenna minister of foreign affairs. Perez Mackenna was the manager of?the Luksic billionaire family's business interests for nearly 30 years. Trinidad Steinert will head the Ministry of Public Security. This is a key role in fulfilling Kast’s campaign promise of cracking down on crime. (Reporting and editing by Cassandra Garrison, Thomas Derpinghaus and Cassandra Garrison)
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Asian shares continue to fall, bond market turmoil stokes new anxiety
Asian stocks continued to fall for a third day on Wednesday, dragged down by increased tensions surrounding U.S. threats of acquiring Greenland in advance of President Donald Trump’s Davos address. However, a global bond sell-off appeared to have slowed for the moment. The fear of the "Sell America" trade - which emerged in the wake of last year's "Liberation Day tariff announcements" in April – gripped the markets overnight as Wall Street fell over 2% and the U.S. Dollar suffered its largest fall in more than a month. Investors fled to gold and silver which had both reached record highs. Mantas vanagas, senior economist at Westpac, said that the'sell America trade' was driving the major market movements overnight. Investors were looking to reduce their exposure to the U.S. as they viewed it as an unreliable and self-defeating partner. Trump has however redoubled his rhetoric on Greenland. He said that there is "no turning back" from his goal of controlling the island and refused to rule out taking control by force. Trump's threat to impose tariffs on Europe also reignited fears of a trade war. On Thursday, the European Union will convene a summit to discuss this issue. The long-standing U.S./EU alliance is clearly in danger. The World Economic Forum is in Davos, where Trump will deliver a speech Wednesday. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan dropped 0.3% in early trading. Japan's Nikkei fell 1.2% for the fifth consecutive day. Nasdaq and S&P futures both rose 0.2% overnight after Wall Street experienced its biggest drop in three months. The S&P500 fell by 2.06%, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped by 2.4%. The Euro STOXX50 futures and the DAX futures both fell by 0.4%. JAPAN'S BOND RULE PAUSES FOR NOW The global bond markets were still recovering from a brutal selling off, caught in a perfect hurricane of concerns over U.S. exposure and an increase in Japanese government bonds yields. Bond yields in Japan soared to new records due to fears of increased government spending by Prime Minister Sanae Takayichi. Investors tried to catch their breathe in the early trading. The 40-year Japanese Government Bond yields fell 6 basis points to 4.145% on Wednesday, after surging 26 basis points a day earlier and reaching a record high 4.215%. Other tenors remain thinly liquid. Treasury yields in the United States were also stable on Wednesday. The benchmark 10-year rate fell 1 bp, to 4.285%. It had jumped overnight by 7 bp to reach a five-month peak of 4.313% on the back of "Sell America". Danish pension fund AkademikerPension announced on Tuesday that it will sell its holdings of U.S. Treasuries worth about $100 million by the end this month. It blamed weak U.S. Government finances. The U.S. Dollar remained at 98.56 per dollar against major peers after dropping 0.5% over night - the largest daily drop since early December. The yen was stable at 158.19 dollars, but it lost out in a few crosses. The Swiss franc hit a record-high of 200.19 yen. Bank of Japan will meet on Friday. Though a rate increase is not expected, policymakers may tighten up the monetary system as early as April. The oil prices dropped as geopolitical tensions, and the expected increase in U.S. crude stocks outweighed a temporary stoppage of production at two large Kazakh fields. West Texas Intermediate crude prices fell by 1.31% in March to $59.57 per barrel. Silver prices also rose, but only by 0.4%, to $95.01, falling short of the record of $95.87 set on Tuesday.
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Can you price a global regime shift? McGeever
The latest trade war and foreign policy salvos from Donald Trump are upsetting the global markets. But the question is if these ructions escalate or fade, as they did in the past 12 months. It is more likely that the latter, but it is clear that investors struggle to price the fundamental shifts in geopolitical plates. The changes that have already occurred in 2026 will be truly astounding. The Trump?administration appears to have?removed Venezuela's leader and is now the Latin American nation's defacto ruler. The threat of an American response is still present after a violent crackdown in Iran on protests has resulted in the deaths of thousands. Trump is also trying to buy Greenland by any means from Denmark, another NATO ally. The U.S. - Europe alliance and the rules-based world order that has been built up since World War Two are in danger. It is also a minefield on the economic and financial front. Trump has made a number of interventionist decisions on everything from mortgage-backed securities to credit card rates, and he's also pressed U.S. oil executives into investing billions in Venezuela. We should not forget that his Justice Department continues to threaten to indict Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. This "Trumpian attack" on the U.S.-based rules-based order, to borrow Matt King's phrase, the founder of?Satori Insights, seemed at odds with relative calm in the markets. This calm is breaking apart. Stocks, bonds, and the dollar have been impacted by a sell-off triggered by Trump's escalating spat with many of America’s closest European allies. Gold, the safe-haven, has risen to $4,700 an ounce. It looks like the 'Sell America" trade is back. If last year's performance is any indication, the market jitters could turn out to be speedbump on the road to new highs instead of roadblocks. The fundamentals matter, right? Wall Street will not stay down long if we ignore the geopolitical drama. The consensus expectation for U.S. corporate profits and economic growth is high. The International Monetary Fund on Monday raised its 2026 U.S. growth estimate ?to 2.4% from 2.1% in October, due in part to ?the huge sums being plowed into artificial-intelligence data centers, chips and power generation. Early indications of the fourth quarter earnings are also encouraging. So far, 84.8% of the 33 S&P 500 companies that have announced earnings have surpassed expectations. If the LSEG consensus estimates for year-onyear earnings growth of 9,0% materializes, this should put upward pressure to equities. Remember that high levels of uncertainty aren't always bad for profits or growth. In some cases it can even be positive. Imagine the amount of money needed to fund the global rearmament or the race for energy independence and AI independence. No room for LIMBO The relative calm of the markets over the last year could be attributed to a virtuous circle - or, put another way, a false illusion. The steady flow of money from passive investment funds into the credit and equity market helps to keep volatility down and prices high. Investors will continue to dance as long as there is music playing. The confusing trends in the past year, including simultaneous rallies of both risk-on and risk-off assets, also show that it's very hard to accurately price a risk of this magnitude. What is the value that an investor places on the demise of NATO, the U.S. Europe alliance or the rise of a multi-polar world divided into three "spheres" of influence headed by the U.S. China and Russia? For investors, regime changes are difficult to navigate. You are either at war, or you're not at war. Matt King, Satori 'Insights, says that there is no limbo. The risk rally is consistent, but not necessarily driven. It's very strange. It's not hard to explain, but it has a certain vulnerability. It also applies to corporate profits. It's assumed that earnings in tech and other areas will stay at their current levels. Analysts' forecasts don't seem to capture threats to the cycle, such as excessive AI capacity due competition from China or regulation pressure from the EU. These risks are still present. Maybe Trump's move for Greenland is the straw that breaks the backs of investors, and current market anxiety will become a real correction. It's possible that you don't want to bet. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the columnist, who is also the author. Check out Open Interest, your new essential source for global commentary on finance. Follow ROI on LinkedIn and X. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast daily on Apple, Spotify or the app. Subscribe to the Morning Bid podcast and hear journalists discussing the latest news in finance and markets seven days a weeks.
Sandvik's core profits miss expectations in the first quarter
Sandvik, a Swedish manufacturer of metal-cutting equipment and mining equipment, reported on Wednesday a core profit for the first quarter that was below expectations. The company also said that it expects tariffs to have a minimal impact on margins in future.
Operating profit before amortization and items affecting comparableability increased 9% from a previous year to 5.77 billion Swedish Crowns ($588.75 millions) in the third quarter. However, it missed a median forecast of 5.91 million crowns by analysts polled at LSEG.
In a recent statement, CEO Stefan Widing stated that the impact of tariffs on Sandvik's margins will be "limited". The global tariff announcements have not yet affected demand for Sandvik products.
He said that the recent announcements of increased global tariffs would have an impact on the macroeconomic climate going forward.
It is still too early to make any predictions about how the new regulations will impact our industries or market segments in the future.
Sandvik's orders rose by 2% in value to 32.76 billion crowns compared with the same period of last year.
Sandvik is a good indicator of the demand for industrial products in Scandinavia, given its large customer base and quick lead times.
At 0935 GMT its shares were down by 1.6%, trading at roughly the same level as they did before it released its quarterly report.
(source: Reuters)