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90 % of LME Aluminium inventories are controlled by a single party

90 % of LME Aluminium inventories are controlled by a single party

According to LME data released on Monday, one party controls up to 90% (or half a billion dollars) of the available London Metal Exchange aluminium inventories.

The exchange doesn't reveal the identities of those who hold large positions. However, investors and traders often keep inventories in order to take advantage of looming shortages, or to fulfill commitments made to customers.

Alastair Muuro, senior strategist for base metals at broker Marex, said: "It would seem a reasonable assumption that the trader is looking to fill a short of metal.

Munro said that this is reflected by a recent spate of new cancellations at LME warehouses - 32 175 metric tonnes in one week - where owners have given notice of their plans to remove the metal.

LME positioning data (0#LMEWHL>) showed that between 80% to 90% of LME inventories for metals used in transport, packaging and building were held by a single party as of 20 February.

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing, which owns the LME, did not respond immediately to a comment request.

The total LME stock of aluminium is 535,900 tonnes, but LME's position data is based on the inventory that has not been cancelled, i.e., those that are earmarked for shipment, which amounts to 208,400 tonnes.

At the LME Cash Price, 90 percent of these stocks were worth $505 million.

The benchmark LME three-month aluminium price reached its highest level in almost nine months, at $2 736 per ton on Friday. This was in response to a European Union decision to ban Russian primary aluminum imports.

LME Stocks Overall Since May of last year, the price of aluminium has halved. This suggests a tighter market.

The premium for cash LME Aluminium over the benchmark contract of three months is also reflected. On February 17,, the price of a ton reached $38. This was the highest closing price since May 2023.

The premium (also known as backwardation) usually indicates a shortage of short-term inventory on the LME.

LME data showed that between 80 and 90 percent of zinc inventories were held by a single party on February 20th, worth approximately $370 million. However, the LME zinc spread did not show any backwardation.

The LME inventory of the main metal used for galvanizing iron has fallen Analysts have predicted a global surplus for this year. (Reporting and editing by David Evans; Additional reporting by Polina Devtt, Pratima Dasai, and Eric Onstad)

(source: Reuters)