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Investors turn cautious as they await US year-end data

Investors turn cautious as they await US year-end data
Investors turn cautious as they await US year-end data

Investors were cautious on Tuesday as they awaited key U.S. inflation and jobs data that could give fresh clues to Federal Reserve policy expectations for the New Year.

As of 0450 GMT, spot gold fell 0.3%, to $4,289.17 an ounce. Bullion is up 64% this year, breaking multiple records.

U.S. Gold Futures fell 0.5% to $4,315.80.

"We're just up against the former high of $4,380 that was set in mid-October. The market is asking if there is enough confidence to break higher or if momentum is starting to fade.

According to CME's FedWatch, traders are pricing in 76% of a U.S. 25-basis point rate cut in January. Some even expect two cuts. The data docket for this week is expected to provide new clues as to how quickly the Fed will ease policy in 2026.

After a 43-day shutdown of the government, data collection was curtailed, and October's unemployment rate, among other things, is not included in the combined U.S. Employment Reports for October and November, which are due on Tuesday.

Fed Governor Stephen Miran stated that current inflation is above target but does not reflect the underlying dynamics of supply and demand which are driving price increases much closer to the 2% central bank's target.

The markets are also awaiting the weekly jobless 'claims, and the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditures Index (PCE), due this week.

Bullion that does not yield a return is typically found in lower-rate environments.

Silver spot fell 1.7%, to $62.88 per ounce after reaching a record high on Friday of $64.65.

Tim Waterer, KCM Trade's chief market analyst, said that silver still has a bullish tone despite the fact that industrial demand is not showing signs of abating. This comes after a 121% rise in this year due to a tightening inventory and a firm industrial and investing demand.

The spot price of platinum rose 1.7%, to $1.812.80. Palladium increased 0.6%, to $1.579.44. Reporting by Ishaan arora and Sherin Elizabeth varghese from Bengaluru, editing by Sherry Jacobi-Phillips & Harikrishnan Nair

(source: Reuters)