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Gold reaches 3-week high in hopes of US data boosting Fed rate-cut betting

Gold prices rose to a record high of more than three weeks on Thursday. This was due to expectations that the release of economic statistics following the reopening the U.S. Government could support the case for an interest rate reduction by the Federal Reserve next month.

As of 11:03 am EST (1603 GMT), spot gold rose 0.2% to $4206.64 an ounce, its highest price since the 21st of October. U.S. Gold futures for delivery in December fell by 0.1%, to $4.211.50 an ounce. Jim Wyckoff is a senior analyst at Kitco Metals. He said that traders expect economic data to be released following the end of the government shutdown. This will show a weakening U.S. labour market and force the Fed towards at least one rate cut in December. Job market weakness has been indicated by private surveys. According to an agreement funding federal operations until January 30, the U.S. Government will resume its operations following a 43-day record shutdown. Fed Chair Jerome Powell warned that, while the U.S. Central Bank reduced rates last week, further easing was not guaranteed this year, due in part to a lack data. A survey showed that 80% of economists expected another 25 basis-point cut during the Fed's meeting on December 9-10.

Gold is usually a beneficiary of lower interest rates, as it offers no yield. It's also viewed as a safe haven during times of economic uncertainty. Standard Chartered noted that the correlation between gold and core macro-drivers like the dollar or real yields, has weakened significantly over the last two weeks. This reflects a shift towards structural themes, such as currency debasement, and U.S. bond concerns.

Silver spot fell 1.1%, to $52.83 an ounce, after reaching its highest level since the 17th of October earlier in this session.

Tai Wong is an independent metals dealer. He said: "If silver does not break higher decisively we could see another profit-taking round - expect volatility in the near-term to remain high."

Palladium, which fell by 1.2%, was at $1,456.50. Platinum dropped 1.9% to $1,585.10.

(source: Reuters)