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Aluminum prices rise to highest level since June 2022 due to supply concerns

Aluminum prices rise to highest level since June 2022 due to supply concerns

On Wednesday, aluminium prices reached their highest level in over three years due to fears of shortages as well as hopes for a U.S.-China trade agreement.

The price of three-month aluminium at the London Metal Exchange rose 0.9% by 0915 GMT to $2,805 per metric ton after reaching $2,821. This was the highest price since June 9, 2022.

Ole Hansen is the head of commodity strategy for Saxo Bank, in Copenhagen.

What we have to do today is see if we can get a foothold over that $2,800 mark. If this is the case, that area may become a new base to move towards $2,950.

Data released on Monday showed that the global primary aluminum output for September increased 0.9% year-onyear to 6,08 million tonnes, despite a Chinese government-imposed cap on production.

In a recent note, ING analyst EwaManthey stated that "outside of China, few recent European or U.S. start-up announcements have been made, largely because it is difficult to secure long-term contracts at affordable prices."

Investors were hopeful of avoiding a trade conflict between the U.S. and China, which is the world's largest metals consumer. President Donald Trump stated on Monday that he expected to reach a fair deal with Chinese President Xi Jinping.

LME copper was unchanged at $10,629 per ton after potential physical buyers retreated at high prices following a rally fueled by speculators.

It's actually good that the copper prices were corrected, because it might encourage some real consumption by downstream buyers. "They were not buying anything before," said a Shanghai copper trader, who requested anonymity because he was not authorized to speak to media.

The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most active copper contract closed the daytime trade down 0.13% to 85,420 yuan (11,992.14) a metric tonne.

The LME zinc price rose by 0.6%, to $3006 per ton. Lead increased 0.3%, to $1,991.50. Tin gained 0.7%, to $35,650, while nickel fell 0.1%, to $15,155. ($1 = 7.1230 Chinese Yuan) (Reporting and additional reporting by Dylan Duan, Shanghai; Editing done by Sahal Muhammad)

(source: Reuters)