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Copper prices fall as Grasberg's rally impacts demand

Copper prices fall as Grasberg's rally impacts demand

The price of copper fell on Friday, as the rally this week -- driven by concerns about supply following an accident in the second-largest mine in the world -- affected demand.

The benchmark three-month copper price on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.6%, to $10.202.50 per metric ton at 0947 GMT.

After a disruption in the Grasberg Mine in Indonesia, analysts have lowered their forecasts of global supply for 2025 and 2020. Indonesia's government has reached an agreement with Freeport Indonesia, to stop operations at the mine in order to prioritize the search for trapped employees, said the country's Mining Minister on Friday. This confirms a previous update from Freeport-McMoRan.

Alice Fox, Macquarie's commodities strategist, says that the drop in Grasberg supply will reduce the global surplus of copper Macquarie Group forecasted for 2025 and 2030, but it will not be sufficient to turn the market into a deficiency.

Fox said that "this should support higher prices over the short-term, as compared to our previous forecasts. However, prices may struggle to remain above $10,000 per ton." The yuan, which is heading for its largest weekly decline in two months against dollar, added another layer of pressure to copper.

China is the largest metal consumer in the world. Dollar-priced materials are more expensive to Chinese buyers before the national holiday. This is from October 1-8 this year. The Shanghai Futures Exchange monitored copper inventories in Chinese warehouses, which fell 6.6% last week. Yangshan premium on copper also decreased. The price of copper, which reflects the demand for imported copper into China, has stabilised at $53 per ton. This is its lowest level in a month.

Aluminium fell by 0.2%, to $2.653.50 per ton. Zinc lost 0.8%, to $2.901, while lead dropped 0.4%, to $2.007; tin remained at $34,360 and nickel dropped 0.2%, to $15,245. (Reporting and editing by Kirby Donovan; Additional reporting by Dylan Duan)

(source: Reuters)