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German engineering production will recover in 2026, according to lobby

German engineering production will recover in 2026, according to lobby

According to the VDMA sector group, German engineering companies are expecting production to only recover slightly next year after the pounding that high costs and global uncertainty, as well as a trade conflict, will have on the level this year.

VDMA says that production will only grow by 1.0% by 2026 if the major reforms promised to the German government this autumn are actually implemented.

The VDMA warned that there were "considerable risks" including an intensification of the trade conflict, a rise in government debt, and punitive duties on steel and aluminum.

These factors prompted the VDMA's 2025 outlook to be lowered. The German lobby is now expecting a real-terms 5% decline in production, compared to the 2% drop it forecasted earlier this year.

The tariffs have had a major impact on the metals industry. Several companies stopped exporting to the United States because of the risks involved in proving the origins of steel and aluminum.

Bertram Kawlath, VDMA President, said: "The EU needs to make it clear that our machines are used in American production and for export and therefore do not face punitive duties."

The VDMA also called on the German Government to create a strong market in Germany, as "the wind blows ever harsher into our faces", said he. (Reporting and editing by Tom Kaeckenhoff, Miranda Murray)

(source: Reuters)