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RBA minutes and Australian main index lead to rate-cut bets

Banks helped to boost Australian shares on Tuesday as investors' expectations of further rate reductions were boosted after minutes of the May central bank meeting revealed that it considered a large cut.

S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.6% at the close of trading to 8,466.70. The benchmark index is still a few points short of the 8,500-point psychologically significant level last seen in mid February.

The minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), May meeting revealed that policymakers considered a 50-basis-point cut as "insurance" against trade risks.

The RBA Watch tool says that this marks a change in tone for the central bank, after the rate cut in May. This has increased the likelihood of an easing during the RBA's meeting next week on July 8, from 59% the previous week.

The country's first quarter gross domestic product, which is due to be published on Wednesday, should show a modest increase of 0.4%. Recent data shows that both net exports as well as government spending slowed down the economy last quarter.

The RBA believes that the tariffs, and wider trade dispute will reduce inflation rather than increase it. The RBA's language has changed from April's equivocal statement that "the implications for inflation will be more complex". Westpac analysts said this in a recent note.

The benchmark rose by 1.2% on Tuesday as banks led the gains, mirroring the gains of the 'Big Four lenders', who rose between 1.2% and 1.4%.

The mining sub-index saw gold stocks as the leading advancers, backed by strong prices. Prices retreated Tuesday, but still remained near a four-week high.

IDP Education, a provider of placement services for students, saw its shares plummet 48.1%. It was the worst performing stock on the ASX 200 due to tighter visa rules that affected the company's key markets and lowered the projected annual profit.

The benchmark S&P/NZX50 index in New Zealand fell 0.7%, finishing the session at 12,327.23 point. (Reporting by Shivangi Lahiri in Bengaluru)

(source: Reuters)