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Gold rush to withstand through 2024 though $3,000 mark might prove evasive

Gold's lightning rally to successive record highs shows every sign of continuing in the second half of 2024 as the basic case for bullion stays strongly in location, though $3,000 per ounce looks simply out of reach, traders and industry specialists said.

Investors have gathered in droves towards the precious metal, driven by expectations for monetary relieving, geopolitical tension in Europe and the Middle East and - most especially - reserve bank purchases led by China.

Spot gold is trading around $2,300 per ounce after striking a record $2,449.89 on May 20, acquiring more than 11% so far this year.

There are lots of reasons driving gold right now ..., but one of the major elements is China, Ruth Crowell, CEO of the London Bullion Market Association, told on the sidelines of the Asia Pacific Rare-earth elements conference in Singapore.

Usually China and Japan have actually been spending plan shoppers, but provided the state of the economy, property difficulties and equity markets, gold is a safe choice ... I believe gold is going to be of interest for some time.

Central banks across the globe, specifically China, have actually been ramping up reserves held in gold due to currency depreciation and geopolitical and economic risks.

Bullion is traditionally referred to as a favoured hedge versus geopolitical and economic risks, growing in a low-interest rate environment.

Physical need for gold is strong, however we have actually not seen retail financial investment need coming in yet like exchange-traded funds, demand from the United States ... I see rates reaching $ 2,600 - $2,700 extremely quickly this year, said Amar Singh, Head of Metals - Asia Pacific and Middle East at StoneX.

As financiers seek clearness on the timing of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, the November U.S. elections are likely to add more volatility to the market, analysts said.

While the majority of the experts and traders stay bullish on gold, the possibility of the rare-earth element exceeding $3,000. per ounce looks remote at this point, they said.

It's not a case of some specific aspect holding back gold. but rather that $3,000 would indicate another 30% from here, which. is rather a lot given we have actually currently had some significant gains, said. Nikos Kavalis, managing director, Metals Focus.

SILVER PERFORMS

Silver, both an investment asset and a commercial metal. used in electronic devices and solar panels, has performed well on the. back of gold's strength and firm physical demand.

The metal was trading at $29.20 per ounce on Tuesday, close. to a more than 11-year peak scaled in May.

The future is intense for silver with regard to its usage in. green energy transition. Also there is further room for gold. rates to go higher and silver costs will follow too, said. Michael DiRienzo, president & & CEO of The Silver Institute.

India's silver imports in the very first 4 months of the year. have actually currently gone beyond the total for all of 2023, on increasing. demand from the solar panel market and as investors bet on an. outperformance versus gold, government and market authorities. informed last month.

The silver market is currently in the 4th year of a. structural market deficit due to expectations of higher. industrial need, Metals Focus said in research produced for. market body the Silver Institute.

(source: Reuters)