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United States natgas output to drop in 2024, need to rise to tape high, EIA states

U.S. gas production will decline in 2024 while demand will rise to a record high, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) stated in its April Short Term Energy Outlook (STEO) on Tuesday.

EIA projected dry gas production will alleviate from a record 103.80 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) in 2023 to 103.58 bcfd in 2024 as numerous manufacturers lower drilling activities after gas rates was up to a 3-1/2- year low in February and March.

In 2025, EIA projected output would increase to 104.88 bcfd.

The firm likewise predicted domestic gas consumption would rise from a record 89.09 bcfd in 2023 to 89.92 bcfd in 2024 before reducing to 89.12 bcfd in 2025.

If the forecasts are proper, 2024 would be the first output decrease because 2020 when the COVID-19 pandemic cut demand for the fuel. It would likewise be the first time demand increases for four years in a row considering that 2016.

The current forecasts for 2024 were greater than EIA's. March forecast of 103.35 bcfd for supply and 89.68 bcfd for. need.

The agency forecast average U.S. liquefied natural gas. ( LNG) exports would reach 12.15 bcfd in 2024 and 14.30 bcfd in. 2025, up from a record 11.90 bcfd in 2023.

That was lower than EIA's 2024 LNG export projection in. March of 12.34 bcfd.

The company projected U.S. coal production would fall. from two-year low of 581.6 million short lots in 2023 to 485.2. million lots in 2024, the most affordable since 1963, and 464.2 million. lots in 2025, the most affordable because 1962, as gas and renewable. sources of power displace coal-fired plants.

EIA decreased its projection for U.S. coal exports by more. than 30% in April and 20% in May compared to the March STEO. after the Port of Baltimore was closed as a result of the. collapse of the Francis Scott Secret bridge. Baltimore is the. second-largest export hub for U.S. coal.

The firm forecasted U.S. coal exports will fall from a. five-year high of 99.8 million brief lots in 2023 to 94.5. million short tons in 2024 before rising to 104.9 million brief. heaps in 2025. Coal exports struck a record high of 125.7 million. brief loads in 2012.

The EIA projected carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from. nonrenewable fuel sources would decrease from 4.807 billion metric lots in. 2023 to 4.781 billion metric heaps in 2024 as coal usage declines,. and 4.738 billion metric tons in 2025 as all nonrenewable fuel source usage. decreases.

That compares to 4.584 billion metric tons of CO2 in. 2020, which was the most affordable considering that 1983, as the pandemic sapped. demand for energy.

(source: Reuters)