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Wall Street futures fall as Mideast conflict continues

U.S. index futures fell on Tuesday, as the Israel/Iran conflict entered its 5th day. This dampened global investor confidence in advance of the Federal Reserve’s upcoming decision regarding monetary policy.

The air war between Israel and Iran, which began Friday with Israel attacking Iran's nuclear facility, has raised fears that it could cause bottlenecks in oil exports to the oil-rich Middle East.

Energy stocks in the United States rose in premarket trade as oil prices continued to rise due to uncertainty. Chevron, Exxon, Occidental Petroleum, and Devon Energy all gained 0.7%.

The rise in oil prices coincides with the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates on Wednesday.

According to CME Group’s FedWatch, money market traders have priced in 49 basis points in rate cuts by 2025. There is a 59% probability of a rate cut of 25 bps in September.

At 7:04 am. At 7:04 a.m. ET, Dow E Minis were 221 points lower, or 0.5%, S&P E Minis were 30.75 points lower, or 0.1%, and Nasdaq E-minis had fallen 120 points or 0.55%.

The key data for today includes retail sales by month and import prices, scheduled to be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.

The U.S. Senate Republicans released late Monday proposed changes to the President Donald Trump’s sweeping tax cut bill, which had passed through the House of Representatives earlier this year.

Goldman Sachs strategists wrote in a report that the Senate's tax bill looks similar to the House version, but will likely cost more in the long run.

Solar stocks dropped after Senate changes to Trump’s tax-cut legislation revealed that solar, wind, and energy tax credit credits would be phased out by 2028.

Enphase Energy shares, which make solar inverters fell 16.8%. Solar panel suppliers Sunrun and SolarEdge Technologies both dropped by 28.3%. First Solar lost nearly 12%.

The shares of nuclear power companies have risen after the Senate extended credit for nuclear energy until 2036. Oklo and Nano Nuclear Energy both rose by 2.8%.

A rise in U.S. Treasuries, as investors seek out traditional safe-havens amid increased geopolitical unrest, has pushed down yields across the curve. The yields on the benchmark 10-year dropped about 4 basis points, to 4.41%.

Eli Lilly, among other players, fell 0.9% following its agreement to purchase Verve Therapeutics up to $1.3 Billion. Verve shares soared by 77.1%.

T-Mobile dropped 4.8% after Japan’s SoftBank raised $4.8 Billion from the sale of 21,5 million shares of the wireless carrier at $224 per share, according to a Term Sheet

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(source: Reuters)