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India oil demand driven by customers instead of industry: Kemp

India's oil usage increased by 3.7 million tonnes (4.8%) in the first four months of 2024 compared to the very same period in 2023, according to data from the federal government's Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell.

Increased domestic usage was comparable to an additional 220,000 barrels each day (bpd), just somewhat slower than growth of 235,000 bpd in the first 4 months of 2023 and 241,000 bpd in the same duration in 2022.

Growth was broadly in line with the OPEC secretariat's. projection for a full-year average boost of 230,000 bpd. ( Monthly oil market report, OPEC, May 14)

Chartbook: India petroleum intake

India is becoming one of the most important motorists of. international petroleum usage and anticipated to overtake China as. the single essential source of growth by 2030.

Nevertheless, the switchover is still in the future. OPEC. forecasts India will represent one-tenth of international development this. year, the second-highest share of any country, but still well. behind almost one-third coming from China.

MOTORCYCLES, VEHICLES AND COOKING

Two-thirds of India's petroleum intake is attributable. to simply 3 products - diesel (39%), fuel (16%) and. liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) (13%).

Much smaller shares are attributable to petroleum coke (9%),. naphtha (6%), bitumen (4%), jet fuel (4%) and other items.

Diesel is mainly used by freight hauliers, producers and. mines, with small amounts in farming and power. generation, and usage has actually increased at a typical annual rate. of a little under 3% over the last decade.

The fastest growth has actually originated from gas, increasing at an. average rate of 8% each year, as household incomes have actually driven a. rapid increase in motorbike and automobile ownership.

The variety of registered bikes and automobile more. than doubled in the years approximately 2020, according to the most. recent offered information from the Ministry of Roadway Transport and. Highways.

The second-fastest development has actually come from LPG, increasing more. than 6% each year, as more families turn to bottled gas to. replace kerosene for cooking.

Households account for almost 90% of the nation's LPG. intake and it has actually almost totally changed kerosene in the. last twenty years.

Growth led by gas and LPG instead of diesel is. consistent with other data showing the country's financial. growth is being driven mainly by intake instead of. commercial deepening.

Related columns:

- India to end up being main driver of incremental oil usage by 2030. ( Jan. 24, 2024)

- China and India battle to curb nonrenewable fuel sources (Oct. 19,. 2023)

- India's new motorcycle owners drive gasoline boom (Sept. 16, 2016)

- India's mobility revolution is driving international oil demand. ( May 16, 2016)

John Kemp is a market expert. The views revealed. are his own. Follow his commentary on X https://twitter.com/JKempEnergy.

(source: Reuters)