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Stronger renewable output weighs on spot costs

European spot power costs were anticipated to drop in Monday trading because of a boost to wind power generation on Tuesday, coupled with high solar power supply.

Tuesday's outlook is bearish, LSEG analyst Riccardo Parviero said, mentioning higher wind and solar forecasts.

German baseload power for Tuesday was at 83 euros per megawatt hour (MWh) at 0750 GMT, down 9.8% from the cost paid on Friday for Tuesday delivery.

The equivalent French agreement had a bid-ask range in between 52 and 64.50 euros/MWh.

German wind power output was expected to jump by 3.9 gigawatts (GW) on Tuesday to 6.7 GW while French output was forecast to increase by 370 megawatts (MW) to 2.6 GW, LSEG data showed.

LSEG analysis showed that wind power supply in Germany is expected to drop on Wednesday and Thursday to about 6.3 GW and 5.3 GW respectively previously reaching 9 GW on Friday.

German solar energy supply was likewise anticipated to rise, gaining 2.1 GW to 16.6 GW, the information revealed.

Renewables growth is pressing standard flexible generation out of the merit order and driving more negative prices this year, Montel EnAppSys director Jean-Paul Harreman said, including that more are expected in the coming months.

French nuclear schedule rose 2 percentage indicate 70% of maximum capacity.

Power usage in Germany was expected to increase by 1.9 GW to 54.7 GW on Tuesday while demand in France was predicted to add 1.6 GW to 43.1 GW, the information revealed.

German year-ahead power was down 1.4% at 89.95 euros/MWh while the French equivalent, Cal '25,. was untraded after its previous close at 67.85 euros/MWh.

(source: Reuters)