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Stocks fall as Mideast conflict reignites and Fed decision looms

Stocks fall as Mideast conflict reignites and Fed decision looms
Stocks fall as Mideast conflict reignites and Fed decision looms

U.S. stock prices fell, while oil and Treasury yields rose, as the fighting in the Iran war resumed just hours before the highly anticipated 'Federal Reserve interest rate decision due later on Wednesday.

Although the Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged, traders have priced in roughly 34% of a rate hike. This is because rising oil prices are reigniting concerns over inflation which remains above the U.S. Central Bank's annual target of 2%. The markets have fully priced in a Fed rate hike for the September meeting.

Chris Low, FHN Financial's chief economist, said that if oil prices continue to rise in September, then the Fed will determine that the shock has lasted for long enough to warrant a rate increase, or increases. The market also believes that some participants will make the case for rate hikes today...and there's a good chance they can convince a majority to support them. After major airstrikes resumed, oil prices rose more than 6%. This quelled hopes of an imminent end to Iran's war. This rally was exacerbated by data from the industry showing a decline in U.S. crude inventories.

The Fed chairman Kevin Warsh prefers to give less "forward guidance" on the Fed's probable monetary path.

The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10 year notes increased 2.45 basis points from late Tuesday to 4.629%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.37% to 52 024.98, the S&P 500 declined 0.62% at 7,382.73 while the Nasdaq Composite was down 0.83% at 24,670.23.

EARNINGS TO SET TONE

Investors will also be waiting for a wave key earnings. Microsoft and Meta are due to report their results after the close of markets, followed by Amazon.com, and Apple later in this week.

Investors have questioned the sustainability of AI spending boom amid signs that U.S. major companies are continuing to invest billions in the technology and continue to drain free cash flow.

The focus is now on returns from investment, not spending plans. Investors are looking for evidence that AI capex generates revenues right now and also strengthens future growth prospects, said Gina Martin 'Adams, Chief Market Strategist at HB Wealth.

As China's competition intensifies in both the race to develop advanced chip models and Chinese firms rolling out cheaper AI models, there is a growing concern.

Even a six-fold increase in SK Hynix’s quarterly profit failed to meet expectations, sending the shares tumbling by 9.61%.

South Korea's KOSPI fell almost 6% in a single day, after falling more than 10% and reaching a three-month high. South Korea is responding by introducing additional 'curbs' on leveraged single-stock exchange-traded fund, or ETFs. This includes a cap that would limit an individual investor's investment to 20% of total assets.

The pan-European STOXX 600 fell by 0.21% while Europe's FTSEurofirst 300 fell by 0.28%.

The MSCI All Country World Price Index dropped by 0.57%, to its lowest level since June 26.

(source: Reuters)