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US stocks rise ahead of Fed decision and tech earnings

U.S. stock prices rebounded on Tuesday from their earlier lows ahead of the release of important corporate earnings and the Federal Reserve’s highly anticipated interest rate decision on Wednesday.

Investors dumped chipmakers over concerns about Chinese competition, and funding for the AI boom.

Gains in other sectors have offset the decline in chips stocks during the U.S. session.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 1.29%, to 52881.21, while the S&P 500 gained 0.37% at 7,440.40. The Nasdaq Composite increased by 0.04% at 24,940.99.

The Asian chipmakers are at the core of the earlier selloff on Tuesday. South Korea's KOSPI plunged more than 10%, hitting a three-month high. This triggered a circuit breaker on its way down, as it headed?for the largest monthly drop on record. It surpasses the declines that were suffered during the Asian Financial Crisis in 1997.

The index has more than tripled its value in the past 12 months, but it's lost more than a quarter of that value since then.

The MSCI All Country World Price Index fell by 0.26%, to 1105. It had previously dropped to 1098.

Investors have been concerned about circular funding and stretched valuations in the AI sector after a strong rally in this year.

The latest decline followed a report that China was manufacturing its own immersion deep ultraviolet (DUV), lithography machines. Meanwhile, the strong debut of Chinese chipmaker CXMT on the stock market on Monday fueled concerns about increased competition in memory chip industry.

Dorian Carrell is the head of Schroders' multi-asset income. He said that there are concerns about the costs and the amount of leverage required. He added: "We're now seeing questions about the profitability of semiconductors, especially in Asia."

The earnings this week of "Magnificent 7" members Microsoft.com, Amazon.com Meta, and Apple, which are also companies that spend the most on AI will be seen by many as a test for the market rally. This is especially true after Alphabet, Tesla, and other tech giants spooked investors with their negative cash flow reports last week.

OIL SLIDES, U.S. Rate MOVE EYED

The continued decline in oil prices, Treasury yields and other financial indicators helped calm nerves before the Fed's rate announcement on Wednesday.

The surge in oil prices, fueled by renewed fighting between the U.S. and Iran, has raised expectations that a rate?hike could be imminent as policymakers struggle to combat inflation, which remains stubbornly higher than the Fed's 2% target.

Oscar Munoz is the head of U.S. Economics at TD Securities. He wrote in a report that "Higher oil costs due to Middle East tensions have increased inflation risk and?strengthened case for a rate increase, but more evidence will be needed before a majority supports it."

The price of oil has dropped this week, following the abrupt suspension by Washington on Saturday of its airstrikes against Iran. Oman presented Iran with a Gulf-backed plan to manage the Strait of Hormuz and collect voluntary fees, according to a Gulf source on Tuesday.

Fed funds futures now price in a 32% probability of a rate hike on Wednesday. This is down from Monday's 38%.

The yield on benchmark U.S. 10 year notes dropped 4.09 basis points from?4.641% at the end of Monday.

The euro rose 0.23% against the dollar to $1.1393.

The Japanese yen fell 0.02%, to 163.75 dollars, just above the four-decade low. Markets are on edge, fearing that Japan will intervene in the currency pair, especially if the Bank of Japan holds rates this week, and triggers another yen decline.

(source: Reuters)