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French central bank forecasts 0.3% growth in the first quarter

In its monthly outlook, the central bank said that France's economy grew slightly faster in the first quarter as businesses placed orders ahead of anticipated price increases following the outbreak of the Middle East?war.

Bank of France forecast that the euro zone's 2nd largest economy will likely grow by 0.3% in the second quarter of this year, up from 0.2% growth in the last quarter of the previous year. This is consistent with earlier estimates.

Francois Villeroy De Galhau, Governor of the Central Bank, said that the outlook is in line with the central bank's prediction that the economy would grow by 0.9% this coming year "despite the uncertainty linked to the conflict?in the Middle East".

The central bank, using its monthly survey of 8,500 companies, said that activity in industry, services, and construction held steady in March, with factory output exceeding expectations for the previous month.

Aeronautics and nuclear power, as well as defence, were all strong sectors in the manufacturing sector, and services and construction remained generally supportive.

The central bank did warn that the conflict in?the Middle East is weighing down on sentiment. Businesses are more cautious about April. Uncertainty indicators have risen to levels last seen in the early months following Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

As transport disruptions and rising energy costs rippled throughout industry, Villeroy also flagged new supply-chain strains.

He said that more firms were signaling they would increase their prices in April. The survey showed that while?11% industrial companies increased prices in March, this was in line with historic norms. This month, it is expected to increase to 23%. Reporting by Leigh Thomas, Editing by Peter Graff

(source: Reuters)