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Uganda votes in tense elections clouded by succession issues

After a violent election campaign, the Ugandan president Yoweri Mueveni wants to extend his reign into a 5th decade.

Museveni will likely be able to defeat the challenge of the popular singer Bobi Wine. But the vote is a test?of?his political strength?and?ability to avoid the unrest which has ravaged neighbouring countries Tanzania and Kenya.

The longtime leader campaigned under the slogan "protecting gains", promising to maintain peace and elevate the country to middle-income status.

Wine, 43-year-old Pop star, nicknamed "Ghetto president" because of his humble origins has promised to end Museveni's dictatorship and appealed to angry young people about the lack of economic opportunities. Over 70% of Ugandans are under 30 years old.

HUNDREDS Arrested, at LEAST one killed

Security forces have opened fire on Wine's events several times, killing at least 1 person. They also arrested hundreds of Wine supporters. Museveni’s government has justified the actions of security forces as a response to what they called lawless behavior by opposition supporters.

The authorities have cut off internet and mobile access in the entire country to combat what they call "misinformation" regarding the election.

Last week, the U.N. Office for Human Rights said that elections took place amid "widespread intimidation and repression".

Wine is not the only opposition candidate who will be challenging Museveni,?Africa's?third-longest ruling head of state. The voters will also be able to 'choose over 500 members of Parliament. The polls will close at 4:00 pm (1300 GMT), and the results are expected within 48 hours. By Saturday afternoon.

MUSEVENI IS AN STRATEGIC FRIEND OF THE WEST

Museveni was the leader of a revolt in 1986 that brought him to power. Political analysts claim that he has changed the Constitution twice, removing age and term limitations, and because he dominates Ugandan institutions, there are few chances of a surprise election.

As president, he has established Uganda as a strategic?partner?of Western countries, sending troops into regional hotspots such as Somalia and accepting millions of refugees.

The economic growth traditionally dependent on agriculture and tourism is expected to reach double digits once crude oil production begins this year from the fields operated by France's TotalEnergies, and China's CNOOC.

Museveni's government has been criticized for alleged abuses of human rights and unfair elections.

The United States denounced Wine's last victory in 2021, in which he won with 58% of votes. They said it was neither fair nor free. In the run-up to this vote, security forces killed over 50 opposition supporters. It is unlikely that the Trump administration will make similar criticisms this time, after U.S. diplomatic staff were instructed in July to refrain from commenting on foreign elections.

PRESIDENTIAL SUCCESSFULNESS IN FOCUS

Museveni's son, Muhoozi Kaineruaba, is believed by many to be his preferred successor. However, the president has denied grooming Kainerugaba for the position. Kainerugaba is a social media star who regularly threatens violence against opposition leaders. He has declared openly his presidential ambitions. However, his status as the heir apparent within the ruling party is not widely accepted, according to analysts.

Jervin Niaidoo is a political analyst with Oxford Economics. He said that while another term would bring stability, it would also increase the risk of succession, effectively pushing the leadership transition down the road. (Editing by Aaron Ross & Philippa Fletcher).

(source: Reuters)