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Global stock markets continue to fall without any clarity on tariffs and the economy

Global stock markets continue to fall without any clarity on tariffs and the economy

After a sharp drop on Monday, stocks fell again on Tuesday. However, the pace was slower. This is because U.S. president Donald Trump announced that he would double tariffs for Canadian metal imports. This fueled fears of an economic recession caused by tariffs.

The U.S. Treasury yields rose along with the oil price, even though Trump announced on Tuesday that he instructed his Commerce Secretary to impose an additional 25% on all steel and aluminium imported into the United States by Canada. This would bring the total tariff for these products to 50%.

The S&P 500 saw its largest one-day percentage decline since September 2022, and the Nasdaq experienced its biggest drop in a single day. The reaction was a response to President Trump’s Fox News interview from the weekend, where he refused to rule out a possible recession due to his trade policies and spoke of a "period transition."

In addition to the concerns over tariffs, the data released on Tuesday showed that U.S. small business confidence fell for the third consecutive month in February. This erased much of the gains made in the wake of Trump's election victory in November.

Phil Blancato of Osaic Wealth, New York's chief market strategist, said that the guidance given by Delta Airlines and retailer Kohl's would indicate a future softening in consumer spending.

Blancato said, "You're not seeing the dead cat bounce that you would want after a bad day like yesterday."

You're not seeing many bottom feeders yet. The headlines are still unclear. "There's a lot more uncertainty in many areas, and this is leading to a shortage of buying power among institutions."

Blancato said that while investors are hoping to get some clarity about tariffs in early April, they will also be anxiously awaiting the U.S. Consumer Price Index reading for February on Wednesday for information regarding inflation conditions.

The data for last month was hotter than expected, with the largest monthly price increase since August 2023.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 483.32 points or 1.15% at 41,428.39. The S&P 500 dropped 40.90 or 0.73% to 5,573.66. And the Nasdaq Composite lost 47.75 or 0.27% at 17,420.81.

The MSCI index of global stocks fell 6.31 points or 0.76% to 826.42. The pan-European STOXX 600 fell by 1.8%.

The yields on U.S. Treasury bonds have steadied after falling to a five-month low earlier in the session.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes increased 3.6 basis points from late Monday to 4,249%.

The 30-year bond rate rose by 4.1 basis point to 4.5804%. The 2-year note yield, typically moving in line with expectations of interest rates for the Federal Reserve rose by 0.8 basis point to 3.904% from 3.896%.

The U.S. Dollar rose to an all-time high of one week against the Canadian Dollar, while the Euro reached a four-month-high against the Greenback amid hopes for a German defense spending agreement.

The Canadian dollar fell 0.26%, to C$1.45 for every U.S. Dollar.

The dollar gained 0.09% against the Japanese yen to 147.39. The pound rose 0.51% to $1.294.

The dollar's weakness helped oil prices rise, but gains were limited as worries about a U.S. economic slowdown and tariffs had an impact on the global economy.

U.S. crude climbed 1.17%, to $66.80 per barrel. Brent rose 1.21% to $70.12 a barrel.

The gold price rose after a sell-off in the previous session. Spot gold was up 0.92% to $2,916.10 per ounce, and U.S. Gold futures were 0.81% higher, at $2914.50 per ounce.

Bitcoin gained 2.36% in cryptocurrencies to $81,151.44. (Reporting from Sinead carew in New York; Alun in London; Ankur Banerjee, in Singapore; Alun in London; additional reporting by Dhara Raasinghe, Kirsten Donovan, Alexandra Hudson)

(source: Reuters)