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Bond yields and stock prices fall as Trump's fears about a recession fuel the fear of stocks falling

Investors' concerns about a possible economic slowdown were intensified after President Donald Trump refused to rule out the possibility of a recession due to his tariffs.

The MSCI global stock index dropped more than 2%, its largest one-day decline since August. Nasdaq was the worst performing Wall Street stock, finishing down 4%. This is its steepest percentage drop since September 2022.

Investors began seeking safety even before Trump's Fox News interview on Sunday, when he talked about a period of transition while refusing to predict if his tariffs against China, Canada and Mexico will result in an American recession.

The comments were cited by market strategists as the main reason why investors were cautious on Monday.

Ross Mayfield is an investment strategist with Baird, based in Louisville, Kentucky. He said that the Trump administration appears to be more accepting of a market decline and even a possible recession as long as it helps them achieve their larger goals.

"I believe that's an important wake-up for Wall Street. It was felt that President Trump measured his success by the stock market's performance. It was almost like a Trump put. "I think that we are seeing that this is not the case. The market has started to reflect that fact."

The S&P500 fell 155.64, or 2.80%, to 5,614.56, its lowest level since September, and its largest daily percentage drop since December.

The Nasdaq Composite dropped 727.90, or 4.00% to 17,468.32. This was its lowest closing since also September. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 890.01 or 2.08% to 41,911.71, its lowest closing since November 4, the morning before Trump was elected president.

MSCI's global stock index fell by 19.37 points or 2.27% to 832.73, after reaching its lowest point since January 13.

The STOXX 600 pan-European index ended earlier with a loss of 1.29%.

After the Trump interview, investor confidence was shattered and yields on fixed income fell.

Will Compernolle is a macro-strategist at FHN. He said: "If the White House occupant himself is not optimistic about the short-term expectations for growth, then why should the markets be optimistic?"

The yield on the 2-year bond, which is usually in line with expectations of interest rates for the Federal Reserve (FedRate), fell by 10.4 basis points, to 3.898% from 4.002%, late on Friday. This would be their biggest daily decline since September.

The yield of the benchmark U.S. 10 year notes dropped 9.3 basis point to 4.225%, while that of the 30-year bonds fell 6.9 basis point to 4.548%.

Investors looked for security in currencies. The dollar fell 0.5% against the Japanese yen to 147.29.

The euro fell 0.06% to $1.0826, while Sterling fell 0.45% to $1.2862.

Oil prices fell as investors were jittery due to the uncertainty surrounding tariffs and rising production from OPEC+, but potential sanctions against Iranian oil exports helped limit losses.

U.S. crude oil settled at $66.03 per barrel down by $1.01 or 1.51%, while Brent settled at $69.28 per barrel down $1.08 (1.53%) or 1.58 cents.

The gold price fell, as profit-taking offset support from safe haven demand fuelled by geopolitical uncertainties. Attention is also focused on U.S. inflation figures later this week.

Spot gold dropped 0.86% to 2,885.63 per ounce. U.S. Gold Futures dropped 0.76% to an ounce of $2,882.70. Copper fell 1.25% to $9493.00 per tonne.

Bitcoin fell by 4.88%, to $79 028.58, after reaching its lowest level since last November. (Reporting and editing by Lisa Shumaker, Stephen Coates, Karen Brettell and Lisa Pauline Mattackal; Reporting by Sinead carew, Karen Brettell and Lisa Pauline Mattackal)

(source: Reuters)