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US yields tick higher on inflation scare, two-year hits 5%.

U.S. Treasury yields pushed higher on Thursday with twoyear yields breaching 5% for the first time given that November, as investors worried over rebounding inflation regardless of the release of softerthanexpected March producer costs information.

Yields, which move inversely to prices, had actually skyrocketed on Wednesday on the back of hotter-than-anticipated inflation data that has raised doubt over the Federal Reserve's ability to lower rates of interest this year. The selling pressure continued on Thursday, though to a smaller sized degree.

Typically when you get a huge shock like that markets take about 3 days to stabilize. Day 2, we're still squaring some positions, some late tap-on-the-shoulder sellers are out there, stated Guy LeBas, chief fixed income strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott.

The producer cost index increased 0.2% month-on-month in March, below an expected 0.3% boost. On the other hand, the number of Americans submitting brand-new claims for welfare fell more than expected recently, recommending the labor market stayed fairly tight.

Standard 10-year yields were last seen at 4.574%, about one basis point above Wednesday's levels. Two-year yields, which tend to more directly show Expectations on financial policy, briefly breached 5% declined later and were last at 4.956%, somewhat lower on the day.

While manufacturer rates for March were welcome news, financiers were still scarred by Wednesday's release of the customer rate index, which revealed inflation stays sticky.

The big event actually was the other day's CPI, stated Michael Reynolds, vice president of investment strategy at Glenmede.

September is probably our best guess for a first rate cut, That indicates you have to see inflation get back down ... and we just have not seen that yet this year, he said.

After Wednesday's inflation information traders have cut their expectations for rate cuts this year to less than two, listed below the three cuts Fed authorities had actually booked last month. On Thursday, fed funds futures were showing expectations of a total of about 43 basis points of cuts this year.

Several international brokerages have likewise pressed back their rate cut expectations, with some seeing a cut only in December.

PPI ran cool in March, however not by enough to negate the signal from the very first quarter's hot CPI reports, Expense Adams, primary financial expert for Comerica Bank, stated in a note. The Fed will most likely wait till the third quarter to start lowering interest rates, he stated.

Fed officials on Thursday said there was

no seriousness

to reduce, with Boston Fed President Susan Collins saying the strength of the economy and uneven retreat of inflation argued against a near term push to lower rates.

The Treasury sold $22 billion in 30-year notes with a high yield of 4.671%, which had to do with 1 basis point above the anticipated rate at the time of the quote deadline, an indication that investors demanded a premium to absorb the issuance.

Yields on 30-year bonds at 4.66% included almost 3 basis points on Thursday.

(source: Reuters)