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Oil and stock prices are rising as investors look to Iran. The yen is at a 40-year low against the dollar

Oil prices rose as well as the global stock market index on Monday, as investors watched the implementation of the interim peace agreement between Iran and the U.S.

Wall Street led gains in equities, with?technology?shares rebounding following concerns over AI expenditure that triggered a sale last week.

A source said on Monday that the technical teams from Iran and the United States working on the implementation a peace agreement interim are expected to meet at Doha within the next few days. This is after the weekend strikes threatened the accord. Brent and WTI crude oil both rose on the day, but were still down sharply for the month. Recent U.S.-Iranian attacks have highlighted the fragility of this interim agreement, and expectations of an increase in energy shipments via the Strait of Hormuz has injected volatility to the markets.

"I think that reality is beginning to sink in. Not every barrel will come out of the Gulf within the next two weeks. You can't jam as many barrels as you possibly can through there to pre-war level. Bob Yawger is the director of energy futures for Mizuho. He said that as long as the situation remains risky, boat owners run the risk of being attacked by pirates as they travel through the Strait.

Brent crude futures settled at $73.15 per barrel, up $1.16 or 1.61%. WTI crude oil in the United States gained $1.52 or 2.2% to $70.75. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 306 points or 0.59% to 52,182.44, while the S&P 500 increased 86.36 points or 1.17% to 7,440.38. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite gained 522.53 or 2.07% to 25,820.14. The MSCI index of global stocks rose 9.78 points or 0.89% to 1,112.38.

Richard de Chazal, William Blair's macro-analyst, said: "The scattered conflict continues with Iran. It appears to be following the established pattern of increased tensions over the weekend until they are resolved before Monday's open of markets."

Both the pan-European STOXX 600 and Europe's broad FTSEurofirst 300 indices ended with a loss of less than 0.1%.

The Nikkei 225 rose 107.23 or 0.15% to 69,468.11 while the emerging market stocks rose 2.81 or 0.16% to 1,709.21.

RATE HIKE WAGERING Oil prices fell sharply in recent months, but inflation measures in the U.S. jumped and expectations of an upcoming Federal Reserve rate increase have boosted the dollar. The dollar index (which measures the U.S. against other currencies) was down last week by?0.27% at 101.09; this is just below its 13-month high. The euro rose 0.37% to $1.1425.

There are still many risks on the oil market. Participants appear to be... focusing their attention on the impact of a continued increase in oil flow on global balance,"?ING analyst said in a Monday note.

This week, the U.S. economic focus will be on Thursday's employment report for June. Three ?consecutive months of stronger-than-expected payrolls have reinforced ?the Fed's hawkish shift, though any cooling in the labor market could prompt a more dovish reassessment.

Investors have priced in at least a Fed rate hike this year. This is a dramatic change from the expectation of two rate reductions before the Iran War.

Marc Chandler, Bannockburn Global Forex's chief market strategist, said that the?labor market has accelerated. "The doves' concerns about the labor market slowing down have now passed."

The Japanese yen reached 161,97 per dollar, the weakest level since 1986. It was last hovering around 161.94.

Analysts at LMAX Group stated in a report that "the Bank of Japan's much-anticipated 25 (basis-point) rate increase to 1.00% did?little" to offset the wide interest rate differential between Japan and the United States. This is especially true after the Federal Reserve maintained its hawkish stance, and signaled rates would likely remain high for longer. Gold was down by 1.8% at $4,014.59 per ounce due to the rising dollar. The metal is on track for a 14 percent decline in the second half of this year, which would be its largest quarterly drop since 2013. (Reporting from Ankur Banerjee, Harry Robertson and Rodrigo Campos, in Singapore; Additional reporting by Karen Brettell & Georgina McCartney. Editing by Daniel Wallis & Nick Zieminski.

(source: Reuters)