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Draft shows that EU imports of aluminium and cement will face higher emission costs

Draft EU plans to tighten the carbon border tax could result in higher CO2 costs for imports of aluminum, cement, and other commodities next year.

Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism of the EU (CBAM), which will be implemented in January, will impose a fee on certain industrial products based on their emissions.

This policy is intended to protect European producers from cheaper imports coming from countries that have less stringent climate regulations. The policy will expose imports of such products to a carbon tax equivalent to what EU companies pay already for their emissions on the carbon market.

Brussels will calculate the costs based on a standardised benchmark of CO2 emissions intensity for each product. Lower benchmarks expose imports to higher prices.

According to a draft proposal by the European Commission, Brussels intends to set the benchmark for unwrought aluminum at 1.423 grams of CO2 per ton metal. This is down from 1.464 grams in an earlier draft. The benchmark for grey cement clinker is now?0.666 (down from 0.693), while the benchmark for liquid ammonia fertilizer has been reduced to 0.457, as opposed to 0.471 in a previous draft.

The second draft document of the Commission outlined the default emission values that the EU would use to calculate CBAM costs in the event that producers do not disclose their actual emissions.

According to calculations based upon draft values and an EU Carbon Price of 80 euros/tonne, primary aluminium imported from Mozambique would be charged a CBAM of around 168 Euros/ton if default values were used. Charges of around 51 euros/ton would be applied to imports from India and United Arab Emirates.

The current price of aluminium on the London Metal Exchange is about $2,900 per ton.

A Commission official said that the EU anticipates adopting CBAM benchmarks by early 2026. Brussels will propose other changes to CBAM in the coming week, such as measures to prevent companies from circumventing CBAM and new products which will be subject to a fee.

The EU hopes that this will encourage governments to improve their CO2 pricing policies. Since the EU announced their carbon border levy for?2021, many countries, including China and India, have started developing or expanding carbon pricing systems.

Importers are more likely to be sensitive to any additional charges because steel is less expensive than aluminium. Hot-rolled coil costs around 620 euros per ton. Morgan Stanley analysts estimate that the CBAM costs?on hot-rolled coil will range between 80 euros per tonne for South Korea, to 174 euros in China, to 270 euros in India, and to more than 600 euros for Indonesia. Imports will initially only be charged CBAM charges on a small portion of their emissions as the EU slowly phases in this measure.

Unnamed sources in the industry who were discussing the draft proposals said that the default values set by the EU are deliberately harsh to encourage companies into providing their own emission data.

(source: Reuters)