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South Africa's central bank chief warns that the Middle East conflict clouds prospects for rate cuts
South Africa's Central Bank Governor said that it was difficult to see an easing of interest rates in the near future due to the volatile war in the Middle East, and its impact on the inflation rate. Lesetja Kganyago, the South African Reserve Bank Governor, said that the bank will not update its growth or inflation forecasts in between meetings. Instead it relies on "scenarios," to understand the impact caused by the wildly fluctuating prices of commodities such as fuel and fertilizer. Kganyago, in an interview at the International Monetary Fund's and World Bank Group spring meetings in Washington, said that the conflict would have a negative impact on growth and also increase inflation. In an environment in which you expect inflation to rise, I do not think that anyone can continue to talk about a relaxation in monetary policies in such an environment," he continued. Last month, the bank maintained its policy rate of 6.75% citing the need to be cautious due to the impact that higher energy prices will have on inflation. The bank revised its risk scenarios before the meeting to assess the impact of the Middle East crisis. The negative scenario assumed that oil would average $94 per barrel for the entire year, and that exchange rates would depreciate by 20%. "That was March. He said that we are now in a totally different environment. "We'll do new scenarios in may." The Middle East conflict and its?wild swings of commodity prices have largely halted the push for monetary easing among central banks in emerging markets. He said that South Africa did not face fuel shortages, and it would be a while before its farmers could feel the impact of a fertilizer shortage. Prices have changed in every direction...the only thing we know for sure is that there is uncertainty.
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Jalal Green shoots past Warriors to charge into the playoffs
Jalen's Green 36 points lifted the Phoenix Suns to the playoffs on Friday with a play-in victory of 111-96 over the Golden State Warriors. The Suns have earned the eighth seed in the Western Conference. On Sunday, they will host the top-seeded and defending Oklahoma City Thunder to begin a first round series. Jordan Ott, Phoenix coach, said: "Sometimes it's not the road you think it will be or the most traveled one. Sometimes it's just the road that is least traveled." "We found our path in, now we're on to the next thing." Phoenix scored 30 points on the Warriors' 21 mistakes. The Suns were able to hold on after Phoenix lost a late advantage against the Portland Trail Blazers during the play-in opening. The drama was not over yet. Golden State's Draymond green fouled out just over a minute after the final whistle. Warriors coach Steve Kerr embraced both Draymond Curry and Draymond green during a special moment. The three players were part of four NBA Championship runs. "I'm not sure what's going to occur." I love coaching, but I understand. Kerr's contract expires this summer. There's always a 'run' and, when it ends, there's often a need for fresh blood, new ideas, etc. If that's true, I'll be 'nothing' but grateful to have the opportunity to coach the franchise. Draymond green and Devin Booker, a Suns player, began a heated conversation as the game resumed. The discussion continued for a few moments before both players received a technical foul. Green was ejected. Phoenix opened up a huge lead after the Warriors scored their first two points. They then closed out the quarter with 8 consecutive points for a 33-15 lead. Golden State scored 15 points in the first quarter, their lowest total since March 7, when they scored 14 against the Thunder in the fourth. The Suns struggled in the second quarter after shooting 52.4% during the first. Golden State was within two points of Phoenix after Curry's free-throws, which he made with 19.6 seconds left in the first half. Jalen green elevated to shoot a 3-pointer on the wing as the clock ticked down. It was the Suns first field goal in over five minutes, giving Phoenix a lead of 50-45 at halftime. Brandin Podziemski, a Golden State player who leads the team with 23 points, scored 10 of them in the second. He led the Warriors in?10 rebounds. Jalen's two 3-pointers helped the Suns to gain control of the third quarter with an 11-1 run. Booker had 20 points, 8 assists and 6 rebounds. Jordan Goodwin, a Phoenix player, added 19 points and nine rebounds. Ott stated, "Truly this group has been a?special one all year. It was special again the last three or four days. They overcame the disappointment by?coming out to play that hard and against a team with every solution known." "... "... Curry scored 17 points, but he was only 4 of 16 on the floor. He also made just 3 of 10 3-pointers. De'Anthony Melton, who came off the bench to score 16 points with eight rebounds, also contributed. Field Level Media
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Australia relaxes fuel standards to boost supply
Chris Bowen, Australia's Energy Minister, said that the country would ease up on its standards for fuel quality until September. This is because of a deterioration in fuel supplies due to the war with Iran. Bowen made a televised statement: "I have decided to extend the period for higher sulphur in petrol in Australia." The relaxation announced in March increases the amount of allowed sulphur in fuel from the usual 10 parts to 50 parts. As the war, now in its eighth week, disrupted supply chain, Australia has seen localised shortages. Bowen?said that the production of diesel, jet-fuel and petrol at a Viva Energy oil refinery (VEA.AX), owned by Viva Energy in Victoria, Australia’s second most populous state, remained the same as Friday. He said that the Geelong refinery was still operating at 60% for petrol and 60% for diesel. Anthony Albanese, Australian Prime Minister, said that the fire would not trigger fuel restrictions. Albanese also secured a deal this week with Malaysian energy?firm Petronas for the supply of?excess fuel in?Australia following trips to Singapore, Brunei and other countries aimed at boosting energy supplies. (Reporting from Sam McKeith, Sydney; Editing done by William Mallard).
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World Bank launches new small state strategy to tackle challenges
The World Bank announced a new strategy on Friday that focuses on jobs to help small island states, and other small countries address challenges like remoteness, shock exposure and a limited economic base. World Bank President Ajay Banga spoke about the initiative in a closed door meeting of 50 ministers and governors of central banks from small countries, held during the spring meetings for the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank. He explained that the idea was to use different tools to help smaller states attract more investment, implement policy and regulatory changes to make it easier to run and grow businesses, and create more jobs. The Bank will focus on areas like health, affordable energy and resilient infrastructure, as well as micro-and small businesses. These are the areas where officials believe there are the best opportunities to boost growth, strengthen businesses and create better jobs. Last year, the World Bank Group approved new commitments and guarantee of $3.3 billion for "small states" who face unique economic challenges, and are disproportionately impacted by shocks as was seen during the Middle East war. In a blog that was released with the new strategy, the bank stated: "For small business, a hurricane, an unexpected?surge? in fuel prices or a decline in tourism could wipe out months of income and investment in just a few days." Banga said that the Bank would take a differentiated strategy to develop regional projects in these countries. Partnerships will be an important component. "This isn't a one size fits all approach." Banga said to the finance officials that small states are diverse and our support would reflect this. "We know that the economics of small states are different," Banga told the finance officials. He said that the cost of working in smaller states can be up to four-times higher than in bigger countries. The Bank therefore planned to streamline its delivery, use more flexible funding and scale solutions in order to maximize each dollar. Several projects have already begun. The bank, in Tonga for instance, will co-finance a urban resilience project with the Asian Development Bank, under a framework agreement of mutual reliance, a first between multilateral development banks. Banga stated that he was planning to sign more agreements, including with the Inter-American Development Bank in order to extend the approach to the Caribbean. He said that the World Bank is also increasing the tools available for countries. The bank also said that better diagnostics was important. The bank said that it was preparing more detailed reports on the challenges faced by private sector hiring in Barbados, Guinea Bissau, Lesotho Mauritius Samoa and Seychelles. The blog also noted that the World Bank could leverage its power to drive investments. The 'International Finance Corp', the bank’s investment arm, for example, helped to 'fund the development of Botswana’s first utility-scale Solar Project', while the World Bank worked on a project on battery storage in parallel, enabling the integration of solar into the grid. The bank stated in its blog that the result was not just a solar power plant but also a model of how private financing can be used to open up markets and create employment. (Reporting and editing by Andrea Shalal)
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Moody's lowers Iraq's credit outlook to "negative" on Middle East conflict risks
Moody's, a credit rating agency, re-evaluated Iraq's outlook on Friday from "stable" to "negative", citing the risks to the country's "credit profile" due to 'the ongoing Middle East conflict' impacting security and energy flow. Moody's stated that "Iraq's heavy dependence on the oil industry implies that disruptions to exports through Strait of Hormuz, which account for around 90% of Iraq's oil exports, will materially reduce dollar inflows as well as fiscal revenues." Iraqi energy officials stated last month that the main southern oilfields of the OPEC'members have seen their output fall by 80% as a result of the U.S. - Iran?war, and the closing down the strait. This has pushed storage levels to a 'high and critical level. Abbas Araqchi, Iranian Foreign Minister, said that the Strait of Hormuz was now open after a ceasefire agreement in Lebanon. Donald Trump, U.S. president said he believes a deal will be reached to end the Iran War "soon", but the timing is still unclear. Four energy sources reported that Iraq resumed its southern oil exports last Friday after a hiatus of over a month. Moody's said in its report that "even if the ceasefire is maintained, it may take some time before flows in 'the Strait' return to normal." The agency kept the country's rating at "Caa1". (Reporting and editing by Unnamalai L, Bengaluru)
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US loans 26.03 millions barrels of SPR Oil in third batch after Iran war
The U.S. The?U.S. Department of Energy announced on Friday that it had lent 26.03 million barrels of oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) to nine oil firms. This is the third allocation under?the Trump Administration's efforts to curb fuel costs, which?have risen since the U.S. and Israeli war on Iran. In March, the 'Trump Administration' agreed to release 172 millions barrels of crude oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in coordination with the International Energy Agency to draw down 400,000,000 barrels to try to control fuel costs that spiked because of the war. Energy companies are required to pay interest on the extra barrels they receive from the SPR. The U.S. offered 126,000,000 barrels of crude oil in three batches. Energy companies have agreed to take on loans of nearly 80 million barrels - or more than 63% - from the SPR. The DOE announced that BP Products North America, ExxonMobil?Corp, and Marathon Petroleum were among the companies awarded SPR loans. Reporting by Timothy Gardner, Ismail Shakil and Doina Chiacu; Editing done by Edward Tobin and Doina Tobin
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President of Lebanon says that ceasefire agreements should be permanent
Lebanese president Joseph Aoun stated?on? Friday that the ceasefire agreement reached by his country would be "transformed" into "permanent agreements." He did not specify whether he meant a potential peace deal with Israel. His televised speech was his first since the U.S. brokered on Thursday a ceasefire that ended six weeks of fighting in Israel between Iran-backed Hezbollah and Israel. In the text of this deal, Israel and Lebanon will hold direct talks in order to achieve "peace between?the two countries." Aoun expressed gratitude to President Donald Trump of the United States and other regional countries who helped secure the ceasefire. 'A NEW PHASE' He said: "Now we are all in a new phase. We have to transition from working toward a ceasefire, to working on permanent agreements that protect the rights of our people, our unity, and our sovereignty." Hezbollah said that it does not support direct talks with Israel, and on Friday its legislators criticized the government for agreeing to such negotiations. Aoun, without mentioning Israel, said: "These negotiations are neither a sign of weakness nor a retreat nor a concession." He did not mention Israel when he said his goal was to stop Israeli attack on Lebanon and ensure the withdrawal of Israeli soldiers from Lebanese territories. Israel's Defence Minister said that Israeli troops will continue to destroy homes in southern Lebanon, which he claimed were used by Hezbollah. Aoun stated that he is prepared to "bear all responsibility for these decisions, and I am willing to go wherever it takes to liberate my country, protect my people and save my nation." Trump said on Thursday that he would invite Aoun, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, to the White House for "talks" between the two nations. It was not immediately known if the date for these talks had been set. This would be an important milestone for Israel and Lebanon. Aoun made "several obvious references" to Iran and Hezbollah without directly mentioning them in his speech. Hezbollah drew Lebanon into the war in the region by shooting at Israel on 2 March to support Tehran. "Today we decide and negotiate for ourselves. "We are no longer a card to be played by anyone, nor an arena for wars," he said. "I say enough to those who play with the fate of Lebanon, and the lives of Lebanese!" Reporting by Enas Alashray, Laila Basam and Maya Gebeily. Editing by Alison Williams & Rod Nickel
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Georgieva: Venezuela is likely to receive IMF support for loan after the necessary groundwork.
Kristalina?Georgieva, IMF's Managing Director, said that the IMF will provide Venezuela with financial support as part of its re-engagement program with South American oil exporter. Georgieva said at a Washington press conference that the IMF was ready to put together a team of staff to work with Venezuelan officials, but that the country faces "a very difficult road" in order to restore financial and macroeconomic stability. The IMF announced on Thursday that it was re-engaging with Venezuela after not having had any dealings since March 2019, and no economic assessments since 2004. Georgieva stated that "after a seven-year pause, our commitment is to engage with Venezuela and do our part to help achieve macroeconomic stability. We want to help Venezuelans see better days." The IMF has already reached out to Venezuela's central bank, finance ministry and statistical agency. Georgieva stated that Caracas "data adequacy is very low and you cannot make good decisions if you do not have good data." She added that the IMF is also working on strengthening Venezuela's institutions and that authorities are "engaging constructively" and showing "good faith". Georgieva said that the IMF was 'working closely' with the World Bank and Inter-American Development Bank in order to coordinate support for Venezuela, which would increase its impact. The news?of IMF's engagement with Venezuela following the ousting of the former president of the country, Nicolas Maduro by the U.S., in January, pushed up the prices of Venezuelan sovereign?bonds as well as those of the?state-owned?oil company on Friday. Venezuela's 2023 note rose by 4.1 cents, to 51.25 cents per dollar. This is the highest since 2017. PDVSA's 2020 note increased by 2.9 cents, to 47 cents. (Reporting and editing by Paul Simao; David Lawder)
Police in Kyiv kill a shooter who opened up fire
Ihor Klymenko, the Ukrainian Interior Minister, said that police killed a man on Saturday who had opened fire in a city district and barricaded himself inside a supermarket.
Klymenko stated that the number of casualties?in this incident in the city’s?Holosiivskyi District was still being clarified. Mayor Vitali Klitschko confirmed that there were also victims inside the store. He had earlier stated the suspect killed two people.
Klymenko posted on Telegram, a messaging app? that Klymenko uses to communicate with his friends and family: "The shooter was liquidated when he was arrested."
Special forces from the...national police stormed a store where the attacker was. He took people hostage and fired at a policeman while he was being held. Negotiators had tried to reach him before that.
Klitschko stated that 10 people were being treated in hospital. Five others were injured. (Reporting and editing by Louise Heavens, Chizu Nomiyama, and Ron Popeski)
(source: Reuters)