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Zambia's fiscal year 2026 will be better as it recovers from drought, debt and other problems

Zambia's fiscal year 2026 will be better as it recovers from drought, debt and other problems

Zambia's Government forecasted a better fiscal picture for 2026. It estimated that it would more or less halve the budget deficit, and boost economic growth to above 6%.

After years of long-running debt restructuring negotiations, the copper-rich southern African country is trying to restore its public finances. The worst drought since living memory slowed down those efforts.

Situmbeko Musokotwane, the Finance Minister, said in a speech on the budget that he aimed for a deficit budget of no more than 2,1% of gross national product (GNP) next year. This is down from 4.6% of GNP this year.

The government wants to increase the real GDP to at least 6,4% by 2026 from 5,8% in 2025. It also wants to reduce inflation from its current level, which is around 12%, to the 6%-8% band set by central bank.

Musokotwane said that the government's copper production goal of 1,000,000 metric tons by 2025 was "in view".

He said that the country has reached agreements with its creditors on approximately 94% of debts being reworked.

The minister stated that the government now serviced payments on all debt restructured, including Eurobonds.

Musokotwane claimed that Zambia's long-running restructuring story, which began when it defaulted on its debts in 2020, taught it a "bitter lesson".

Musokotwane stated that the law was amended to better oversee public borrowing by parliament and a debt management agency set up.

He added, "The country has now moved in the right direction. The decline of the previous is over."

(source: Reuters)