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Silver reaches new records at $60/oz, gold little changed before Fed decision
On Wednesday, gold prices remained steady as investors prepared to analyze Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's comments on a day when the bank will likely announce a rate cut. Silver continued its record-breaking rise above $60 per ounce. As of 0606 GMT, spot gold was unchanged at $4210.79 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for February Delivery rose by 0.1%, to $4238.90 an ounce. Spot silver rose 1% to $61,30/oz, after hitting a session high of $61.46. The price of silver rose 1% to $61.30/oz after hitting a high of $61.46 earlier in the session. Silver is now overtaking gold in value. In October Today, that is close to 69, said Jigar Trivedi senior research analyst at Reliance?Securities. Jigar Trivedi is a senior analyst at Reliance Securities. Trivedi said that silver is in high demand, considering its fundamentals and the use of the white metal in various industries. In a report released on Tuesday, the Silver Institute, an industry association, said that sectors?such as solar energy, electric cars and their infrastructure, data centers, and artificial intelligence, will drive industrial demand through 2030. Maria Smirnova said that the metal was boosted by exchange-traded funds and the U.S. decision to designate it as a critical mineral in early this year. Silver inventories are shrinking globally and the expectation of Fed rate reductions has supported demand. Powell will hold a press conference at 1930 GMT after the conclusion of the two-day meeting. Investors expect a 25 basis-point cut to be implemented in about 89% of cases. GoldSilver Central MD Brian Lan stated that "what we're seeing is not much of a change on spot gold, it's still range-bound and people are looking to the Fed interest rate?tonight and whether or not there will be any further news" (on monetary policy). White House economist Kevin Hassett said on Tuesday that there was "plenty" of room for further cuts, but rising inflation may change this outlook. Gold is a non-yielding asset that tends to be favoured by lower interest rates. Palladium dropped 0.6%, to $1,497.31, while platinum fell 1.3%, to $1667.89. Reporting by Ishaan Aroo, Anmol Choubey, Sherin Elizabeth Vaghese and Rashmi Anich in Bengaluru. Editing by Harikrishnan Nair and Rashmi Anich
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Namibia's second desalination facility to be built by Chinese uranium mining company
Swakop Uranium is a subsidiary owned by the China General Nuclear Power Group. It has entered into a joint venture agreement with Namibia’s water utility, NamWater to build Namibia's second desalination plant near Swakopmund. The plant is only the second one of its kind in Africa. It will help to bolster water supply to the country's biggest uranium mining operation, Husab. In a joint statement released on Tuesday, partners of the joint venture said that negotiations had ended successfully. The project implementation phase will now begin. Swakop Uranium holds 70% of the stake, and NamWater has the rest. According to the statement, "The next steps include the'registration of Erongo Sunam Desalination Project Joint Venture Company and the detailed engineering, environmental assessment, financing arrangements, and construction planning." The new 20-million cubic-meter facility is expected to provide a stable and cost-effective supply of water to Swakop Uranium’s Husab Mine, as well as to neighbouring mines, communities and mines. Officials said that the Husab Mine is the largest open-pit uranium mining operation in the world. It also consumes the most water in the Erongo Region and is the second largest single water consumer in Namibia after Windhoek. Lot Ndamanomhata refused to reveal the cost of the project, but local newspapers estimated it at 3 billion Namibian dollars ($176 million). ($1 = 17,0364 Namibian Dollars) (Reporting and editing by Wendell Roelf, Mrigank Dhaniwala).
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Lingbao Gold, a Hong Kong-listed company, will buy 50% of Australia’s St Barbara unit at $245.5 Million.
St Barbara Mining, a subsidiary of Australia's St Barbara, announced on Wednesday that Chinese gold producer Lingbao?Group would buy a 50% share in the company for A$370m ($245.5m) cash. St Barbara Mining is the owner of Simberi Gold Company. This company will own an 80% stake on Simberi Gold 'Project' in Papua New Guinea. Kumul Minerals will purchase the remaining 20% of the shares for A$100million. Kumul Minerals is the state nominee to?PNG for the share of minerals in the country. Kumul's investment comes as the PNG Government seeks to?expand national ownership of key resource projects. Australian gold producers are enjoying a rapid rise in equity, thanks to the surging gold price. This has prompted companies to unlock value both from domestic and foreign assets. "With 'Lingbao', we have an experienced, well-funded and committed partner," St Barbara CEO, Andrew?Strelein, said. He added that Kumul’s participation in Simberi helps to?align key stakeholders. "St Barbara has now received full funding for its expected share of development costs?of the Simberi Gold Project." The company hopes to make a final investment decision for the Simberi Expansion Project by the third quarter fiscal year 2026.
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The yen is a hazed mess before the Fed
Rae Wee gives us a look at what the European and global markets will be like tomorrow. Investors have focused their attention on the Federal Reserve rate decision this week, but on Wednesday the currency markets briefly turned to the Japanese yen. After a sudden fall in the yen's value against the euro, and a drop of nearly 0.9% versus the Aussie dollar, the yen appeared to be slurring its words. The dollar was also on the verge of breaking through the 157-yen mark. The move was not a major event, but it could have been a way to position itself ahead of next week's policy meeting of the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Markets have almost priced in a 25-basis point hike, but the future is still unclear. There is little reason to tighten policy beyond December, given the lingering fiscal and growth concerns in Japan. If the expected hike next week is followed by another?months' wait, then the yen's trajectory will not change much - which means more downside risk. Even at 0.75% rates,?Japan's would still be among the lowest in world. The announcement comes at a time when policymakers in Australia, Europe and elsewhere have indicated that they may be considering a rate hike. Markets elsewhere reacted little when data showed that China's annual inflation rate accelerated in November to its highest level in 21 months, and factory-gate deflation increased. The Politburo - the top decision making body of the ruling Communist Party - said this week that China would continue to expand domestic demand in 2026 and support the economy through more proactive policies. The rupiah in Indonesia has weakened slightly after news that the United States trade agreement is at risk, according to an official from the United States, as Jakarta has retracted on several of its commitments made under the deal. Later, an Indonesian government official said that tariff negotiations between the United States and Indonesia are progressing as planned by both leaders. The Fed was the focus of attention, as the?outcome on Wednesday could be the most divisive in recent years. Investors have had a stressful few weeks in the lead up to this meeting. There was little data available during the record 43-day U.S. Government shutdown. Fed officials sent contradictory messages and President Donald Trump's Administration pushed for lower interest rates. Kevin Hassett is the White House's economic adviser and the leading candidate to become the Fed's new?chair. He told the WSJ Chief Executive Council on Tuesday that there was "plenty" of room to reduce interest rates. However, he said, if inflation increases, then the calculation?"may change." The Bank of Canada is also expected to announce its policy announcement on Wednesday. It will likely remain unchanged on rates due to a growing economy and an easing of inflation. The following are key developments that may influence the markets on Wednesday. - Federal Reserve rate decision Bank of Canada Rate Decision
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Markets watch Ukraine peace talks and Fed rate decision
Investors waited for a decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve on interest rates and watched progress in Russia-Ukraine talks. Brent crude futures rose 7 cents or 0.1% to $62.01 per barrel at 0500 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude was trading at $58.32 per barrel, an increase of 7 cents or 0.1%. Suvro Sarkar is a DBS Bank energy analyst and said that the American Petroleum Institute reported a decline in U.S. oil inventories. Oil prices could be supported by the U.S. Fed's rate-cut policy, which is another macro-driver. Citing market sources The API numbers are a good way to understand the figures. On Tuesday, the U.S. Department of Energy reported that crude oil inventories in the United States fell by 4.78 million barrels, while gasoline inventories increased by 7 million barrels, and distillate stocks increased by 1.03 millions barrels. While markets were booming, Expecting The U.S. Federal Reserve is to Reduce the size of your ad with this At its meeting on Wednesday, the Bank of England cut its key interest rate a quarter-point to help cool down the labour market. A reduction in interest rates may increase oil demand through economic growth. However, concerns that supply would outpace demand curtailed gains. ING analysts stated in a note that despite the market moving further into a glut, Russian oil supply is still a concern. "While Russian seaborne oil export volumes are doing well, these barrels are having a hard time finding buyers," ING stated, adding that Russian output will begin to drop if buyers cannot be found. After days of intense diplomacy, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy announced that his country and European partners would soon be presenting "refined documents," on a plan to end the conflict with Russia. The lifting of sanctions against Russian companies could be achieved by a 'peace agreement' between Ukraine and Russia. This could allow for the reopening of restricted oil supply. The Energy Information Administration has also said that it expects U.S. crude oil production this year to be higher than expected. Its forecast for 2025 was raised by 20,000 barrels a day to an average of 13.61 million. The organization, however, reduced its forecast of total production in 2026 to 13,53 million bpd by 50,000. (Reporting and editing by Thomas Derpinghaus; Emily Chow)
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Silver reaches new records, gold edges ahead of Fed decision
Silver continued its record-breaking rise above $60 per ounce, as silver continues to be pushed higher by investors awaiting the Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s guidance on the day the bank is expected cut interest rates. As of 0309 GMT, spot gold rose 0.2% to $4215.61 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for February Delivery rose by 0.2% to $4244.70 an ounce. Spot silver was up 0.6% to $61.06/oz, after reaching a session high of $61.46. It has built on Tuesday's breakthrough above the $60 level, driven by depleted stocks and strong industrial demand. GoldSilver Central's?MD Brian Lin said: "What we are seeing on spot gold is that it's range-bound and people will be looking to the Fed interest rate tonight (to see if there'll any further news)" Powell will hold a press conference at 30 minutes after Powell's rate announcement at 1900 GMT. The FOMC meeting, which lasted two days, concludes on Wednesday with a decision about the interest rate. Investors currently price in an 88.6% probability of a 25 basis-point cut. Kevin Hassett is a White House economist and a leading candidate for Fed chairman. He said that there was "plenty" of room?for more. Rate cuts But rising inflation could change this outlook. Gold and other non-yielding investments tend to do well in low interest rate environments. "Many are now interested in silver because it (finally is) catching up to gold. "The (gold-silver ratio) has dropped sharply and there's a lot of demand for silver on major markets including India," Lan stated. Silver Institute, an industry association, said that a report released on Tuesday showed that sectors such as?solar power, electric vehicles, data centers, and artificial intelligence would drive the industrial demand upwards through 2030. Silver prices are supported by dwindling inventories worldwide, high demand and expectations that the Fed will ease interest rates. It has also been added to the U.S. Critical Minerals list. Palladium dropped 0.2%, to $1,503,26. Platinum fell 1.2%, to $1669.70. (Reporting by Ishaan Arora in Bengaluru; Editing by Rashmi Aich and Harikrishnan Nair)
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Copper falls below records as Fed caution tempers gains
The copper price hovered just below its record highs as investors waited for the U.S. Federal Reserve to announce a possible hawkish policy following their two-day meeting. As of 0315 GMT, the?most-traded copper contract at the Shanghai Futures Exchange?was down by 0.37% to 91,720 Yuan ($12,987.27) per metric ton. The benchmark three-month price of copper at the London Metal Exchange rose 0.67%, to $11,564 per ton. The upward trend in copper slowed as the Fed rate decision drew near. At a time of persistent inflation fears and a resilient economy in the United States, the market was expecting a "hawkish" cut in December. Analysts at Chinese broker Jinrui stated that investors have scaled back their positions due to the uncertainty of future rate cuts. They also noted that the expected'supply pressure outside the U.S. keeps prices high and volatile. The copper price has recently reached record highs due to the expectation that supplies will be tightening outside of the U.S. and mine disruptions. China's consumer price inflation reached a 21-month high in November. However, factory-gate deflation continued even as the government intensified its campaign to reduce overcapacity. Shareholders of Canadian miner Teck Resources approved the merger between Anglo American on Tuesday, paving the way for the review by regulators. Aluminium, among other metals, fell 0.34% on SHFE. Zinc dropped 0.43%. Lead?lost? 0.84%. Nickel declined 0.73%. Tin was the only metal to gain 0.72%. Aluminium gained?0.63% on the LME, while zinc gained 0.49%. Lead was up 0.33%. Nickel gained 0.31%. Tin rose 1.11%. Wednesday, December 10, DATA/EVENTS 0600 US Wheat, Corn and Soybean End Stocks 25/26 Dec 0600 US Wheat, Corn and Soybean E/S for the World 25/26 dec 0600 US Corn, Soybean, Wheat end stocks 25/26 dec 0600 US world soy, wheat, corn
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Rinehart: excessive regulation is putting Australia's mining industry at risk.
Gina Rinehart, baroness of mining in Australia, said that excessive regulations have put the industry's global competitiveness under threat. Rinehart, executive chairman of?Hancock Prospecting?, Australia's 4th-largest miner of iron ore, has risen to the top of Australia's richest list over the last 15 years. The comments were made in a speech marking the 10-year anniversary since Hancock first shipped iron ore. They echo previous statements by BHP executives. However, they are her first remarks since Australia passed an environmental law reform in a bid for a reduction in red tape last month. Rinehart cited a report from the Minerals Council of Australia that stated that 80% of mining projects were abandoned. The lobby group blamed this on "poor policies" which increased costs for the miners. "This is the result of bad government policies. Rinehart stated that the reality of a significant risk to Australia's mining industry and high government burdens is putting?our competitiveness at risk. Hancock said in its annual reports that it was awaiting final approvals for the development of two iron ore project. However, a spokesperson announced on Wednesday that approvals were received and construction has begun. Geraldine Slattery, BHP Australia's director of Australia, said in October that the country needs to speed up environmental approvals as well as increase access to low-cost power if it wants to compete with other nations for mining investment capital. BHP's Mike Henry, the CEO of BHP's coking coal division in Queensland, also warned in October that "difficult" decisions were ahead after the state raised its royalty payments without consulting with industry. Rinehart highlighted the contribution mining made to the nation’s wealth. She pointed out that her Roy Hill mine generated A$12 billion in taxes and royalty payments and A$15.4 billion in contracts for Western Australian companies in the last 10 years. She had previously called on Australia to adopt a Donald Trump-style of leadership in order to reduce government spending while increasing defence and energy security. Last month, Australia reached an agreement with the Greens to reform its environmental laws. The MCA described the bill as "an inferior and disappointing outcome" for Australian firms who currently have to "go through a lengthy, complex and double-track approval and assessment process on issues that are largely identical." Reporting by Melanie Burton, Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman. $1 = 1.5078 Australian Dollars
China's steel exports set to reach record levels, threatening further tariff backlash
China's exports of steel are expected to reach a record high in this year. This is despite predictions that trade barriers would cause shipments to drop. They also threaten to trigger a fiercer backlash from protectionists against the world's largest producer.
According to 11 analysts who had predicted earlier in the year that exports were going to fall, they expect to see a growth of 4% to 9% to between 115 and 120 millions metric tons this year.
China's record exports, which produce more than half the world's metal, highlight the need for new markets to absorb the metal, as its consumption peaked at the end of 2020, before the collapse of property prices.
Steelmakers are also concerned that trade barriers may continue to rise. Three analysts and one trader, who spoke under condition of anonymity due to the sensitive nature of the issue in China, believe that it is better to sell as much now as possible.
This fear could become self-fulfilling, as the export push reshapes flows globally and encourages countries to shut down their markets in order to support domestic steelmaking.
China Trade Remedies Information reports that 54 tariffs or other trade barriers will be imposed on Chinese steel starting in 2024. This is more than what was imposed between 2019 and 2023. Analysts believe that more exports will lead to further restrictions.
The European Union announced earlier this month that it would look for new ways to reduce steel imports. Mexico announced a plan on Thursday to increase tariffs on Chinese imports including steel.
PIVOT PIVOT PIVOT
The last peak in steel exports was in 2015. However, rising trade barriers as well as a boom in the Chinese property market that increased demand for construction steel reversed this trend. Steelmakers maintain exports by focusing on new markets with lower barriers or no barriers at all.
Baosteel or Baoshan Iron & Steel, China's largest listed company, reported last month that exports to emerging markets such as the Middle East, Central Asia, and North Africa are growing rapidly. The company forecasts 10 million tons of exports this year.
In the first seven-month period of this year, steel exports from Canada to Saudi Arabia rose by 24%, Malaysia by 14% and Thailand by 13%, respectively, compared with a year ago. Malaysia imposed antidumping duties on certain imports in July.
In a late-August note, the China Iron and Steel Association, backed by the government, said that China's exports fell 20% and 10% respectively in the first seven-month period to its major trading partners Vietnam and South Korea. Both countries have also implemented anti-dumping sanctions.
"It is a very brutal market for traders." There are very few orders coming from Vietnam or South Korea. We must now develop new markets, said a steel trader in east China.
Steelmakers in China are turning to simpler products such as steel billets - semi-finished blocks made of raw metal because they attract lower tariffs.
The exports of billets were three times greater in the first seven month of this year than they had been a year ago, and shipments of steel bars, which are used in construction, grew by 77%. Customs data revealed that hot-rolled wide thin steel strips, which are used in manufacturing, and often subject to tariffs fell by 23%.
Alexis Ellender is the senior lead for dry bulk insights, Kpler. She said that China's exports are suffering because of its shift to unfinished, lower-value products, despite their record volume.
Customs data revealed that steel exports increased 10% in volume during the first eight month of the year, but declined 1% in value.
"The rise in semis exports can be a sign of exports nearing their peak. Semis are more profitable to export than finished steel. It shows that the market is under pressure", said Tomas Gutierrez. He is head of data for consultancy Kallanish Commodities.
THE PEAK
The Chinese government is also opposed to the increasing exports of semifinished products. Beijing wants steelmakers add value, and is considering higher export taxes in order to discourage the shipment of lower-valued steel.
Some analysts believe that exports are likely to peak this year due to a combination of the new wave in protectionism and these factors.
"Overseas market saturation and trade barriers are increasing." Gutierrez said that selling overseas won't be any easier.
Kpler predicts that China's exports of steel will decline to between 100 and 105 millions tons by 2026. Three analysts predict volume will fall below 100 million.
Exports of around 100 million tonnes would still be higher than the total steel production in every other country except India.
Baosteel's general manager Baojun Lu said during a call to discuss earnings last month that "this year we have experienced record trade disputes, including anti-dumping duty."
But as a large steel company, we have to export."
(source: Reuters)