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The rosy outlook of chipmaker TI soothes tariff concerns for the moment

The rosy outlook of chipmaker TI soothes tariff concerns for the moment

Texas Instruments announced a second-quarter revenue forecast that was above Wall Street expectations on Wednesday. The company attributed this to a robust demand for analog chips, despite the fact that the threat of U.S. Tariffs has created uncertainty in the semiconductor industry.

TI shares rose more than 5% after-hours following the announcement. This was the first major U.S. semiconductor company to provide an outlook this earnings season. The stock price had dropped over 17% this year due to macroeconomic worries and trade tensions.

LSEG data shows that TI estimates revenue for the quarter ending June between $4.17 and $4.53 Billion, compared to analysts' average estimate $4.10 Billion. The earnings per share is projected to be between $1.21-$1.47, which is also higher than the average estimate.

Kinngai Chang, senior analyst with Summit Insights Group, says that the positive forecast is driven by "cyclical demand recovery" and possible tariff pull-ins.

Haviv Ilan, the CEO of Haviv Group, sounded a cautionary note. On a call after earnings, Haviv Ilan said, "We'll have to wait and see" what happens in the second half 2025, as well as into 2026. He cited ongoing uncertainty regarding tariff policy.

According to an April notice by the Chinese main semiconductor association, while President Trump has exempted for now semiconductors from further levies and tariffs, Beijing has imposed high tariffs on U.S. made chips.

Analysts asked Ilan if customers were stockpiling the chips in anticipation of expected taxes. I would guess that in a time of uncertainty, you might want to stock up on a bit more inventory. He said.

Tore Svanberg, Stifel's analyst, noted that it may be too soon to determine the impact of the increased tariffs and escalating Sino U.S. Trade tensions on the chip company and the industry as a whole due to the ongoing tariff negotiations.

CHINA WORRIES

TI, a company with significant manufacturing capacity in America, derives about a quarter of its revenue annually from China. This makes it vulnerable to ongoing tit for tat tariffs between Beijing & Washington.

Ilan stated that the company could use its manufacturing facility in China to meet any needs.

Since years, the legacy chipmakers have worked to adopt a “China-for China” policy. They set up fabs to meet domestic demand in the face of escalating tensions.

TI is facing stiff competition in China, where state subsidies have boosted the production of mature-node chips.

Ilan stated that "the competition in China has intensified." (Reporting by Arsheeya Bajwa in Bengaluru; Editing by Tasim Zahid)

(source: Reuters)