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Goldman Sachs raises gold rate forecast to $2,900/ oz for early 2025

Goldman Sachs on Monday raised its gold price forecast to $2,900 per ounce from $2,700 per ounce for early 2025 pointing out gradually rising ETF streams with interest rate cuts in the West and China, and higher reserve bank purchases.

We restate our long gold suggestion due to the steady boost from lower international rates of interest, structurally greater reserve bank need and gold's hedging benefits against geopolitical, financial, and recessionary risks, the bank said in a note.

Spot gold prices increased to all-time highs of $2,685.42. per ounce recently and was on track for its finest quarter because. 2020 sustained by the U.S. Federal Reserve's half-percentage-point. cut and flare-ups in the Middle East.

Gold, utilized as a safe investment during times of political. and monetary uncertainty, tends to value on expectations. of lower rate of interest.

Goldman Sachs raised their 2024 average gold rate forecast. to $2,395 per ounce from $2,357 per ounce and 2025 outlook to. $ 2,973 per ounce from $2,686 per ounce.

Our nowcast of reserve bank and other institutional need. in the London over-the-counter (OTC) market shows that purchases. stayed strong through July, averaging 730 tons annualized. year-to-date, or about 15% of international yearly production. quotes, with a large contribution from China, Goldman stated.

Moderating however still substantial reserve bank purchases on. the London OTC market might drive about 2/3 of the anticipated rise. of the gold rate to $2,900 per ounce in early 2025, the bank. said.

The gradual rise in exchange-traded fund streams following the. Fed rate cuts expected to drive the remaining 1/3 of rate. upside, analysts at Goldman stated.

(source: Reuters)