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Gold to experience its biggest weekly decline since early June due to inflation and rate hike worries

Gold to experience its biggest weekly decline since early June due to inflation and rate hike worries
Gold to experience its biggest weekly decline since early June due to inflation and rate hike worries

Gold was up on Friday, but it is 'on track to its biggest weekly loss in six years as rising energy prices fuel inflation fears. This also reinforces expectations for interest rate increases by the U.S. By 2:20 pm EDT (1820 GMT), spot gold had risen 1% to $4,011.29 an ounce. Earlier in the session, prices fell to their lowest levels since June 30, and have fallen around 2.6% for the entire week. U.S. gold futures for August delivery settled at $4,018.80, up 0.7%.

The U.S. Dollar rose for the second consecutive session, increasing the price of bullion for foreign buyers. Chris Gaffney is president of EverBank's world markets. He said that the main reasons for the gold selloff were a stronger U.S. currency and higher inflation fears. The U.S. escalated?its renewed campaign against Iran by hitting bridges, and an airport. Tehran responded by launching'strikes against U.S. bases in the Middle East. Brent crude oil prices rose by around 16% in the week after the attacks.

The price of gold has dropped by about 25% since U.S.-backed Iran's war began in late Feburary, due to expectations that inflation-driven war could cause interest rates to rise for longer.

Gold is often seen as a hedge to inflation. However, higher interest rates can have a negative impact on this non-yielding metal. Gaffney stated that "recent data has decreased the likelihood of a rate increase at the next FOMC Meeting, but global interest rate are continuing to rise and the recent increase in oil prices may drive the Federal Reserve into a more hawkish policy on U.S. interest rate policy." According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders see a 58% likelihood of an interest rate increase in September. Fed Vice-Chair Philip Jefferson said on Thursday that he was 'open' to raising interest rates if inflation did not improve in the near future.

Goldman Sachs stated in a report that "gold's share of private portfolios is still low and recent geopolitical developments, such as Iran and broader tensions may?accelerate the diversification beyond central bankers to private investors." Spot silver increased 1% to $60.06, platinum fell 1.4% to $1.595.64, while palladium remained steady at $1.249.63. All three metals are headed for losses this week. Noel John, reporting from Bengaluru and Jan Harvey and Chizu Nomiyama editing the report)

(source: Reuters)