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Speculative frenzy catapults silver above $100/oz

Speculative frenzy catapults silver above $100/oz
Speculative frenzy catapults silver above $100/oz

Silver prices soared to $100 per ounce Friday, continuing a 2025-like surge into the New Year. Retail investor and momentum-driven purchases added to the prolonged period of tightness on the physical markets for precious and industrial metals.

Technical analysts, who use charts to predict the future movement of prices, said that silver's rapid gains were a sign of a significant correction.

Silver is currently in a frenzy, and the geopolitical risks are a big part of what is driving it. Its lower price is helping silver to benefit, even right now.

She added, "It seems that everyone wants to get involved, but there are also warnings about wealth in amber." When cracks appear, they can easily turn into chasms. "Stabilize yourself."

Silver, which is used for jewellery, electronics, and solar panels as well as an investment, was last up 5.1% to $101 per troy-ounce on Friday.

Price has risen by 40% since 2026, after a 147% increase in 2025. On Friday, gold reached a record high of $4.988 an ounce.

BofA's Michael Widmer believes that the fundamentally justified price of silver is $60, with solar panel demand likely to have peaked by 2025. The overall industrial demand will also be under pressure from high prices.

As of Friday, silver will cost 50 ounces to purchase one ounce gold, down from the April figure of 105 ounces.

This is a ratio. Silver's performance over gold is now stretched.

INVESTMENT DEMAND

Silver's gain for 2025 is the highest annual growth since 1983.

Market performance in 2025 will be influenced by a robust investment demand in all precious metals, and a prolonged period of low liquidity on the London benchmark silver market. This is due to fears about U.S. Tariffs, which have prompted massive flows into U.S. stocks.

Analysts report that since October, there have been several waves of retail purchases through the purchase of small coins and bars as well as influxes into exchange traded funds with physical silver backing.

Recycling accounts for almost 20% of the total silver supply, which is 1.0 billion ounces. The activity has been boosted by record prices.

Metals Focus, a leading precious metals consultancy, said that inventories are not rebuilding as quickly due to a lack of high-grade refinery capacity.

After five years of structural deficits, the availability of stocks on the market and the secondary supply has become increasingly important.

Metals Focus estimates that these deficits, along with?outflows into the U.S., and inflows into the ETFs, saw the amount metal in London's commercial vaults which could be mobilised quickly in times of high demand dwindle to a record-low of 136,000,000 ounces at the end of September. By the end of 2025, the stocks would have recovered to almost 200 million ounces, helping to lower lease rates in London. However, they were still far below the roughly 360 million pounds available in London at the peak Reddit-driven rally early in 2021.

What now? Analysts anticipate outflows of?U.S. Stocks will accelerate and increase liquidity on the traditional markets, as Washington did not impose any tariffs after announcing its results for the critical metals review mid-January.

After peaking at 532 millions ounces on October 3, COMEX stocks decreased. The inventories of metals worth approximately $11 billion have dropped by 114 millions ounces.

COMEX silver stocks need to continue to be sold at a rate of approximately 113 million ounces per year to reach the levels pre-Trump's election.

David Wilson, senior commodities strategist at BNP Paribas, said that profit taking is more likely to occur sooner than later due to the frenzied nature and investor-driven rally seen since late November.

(source: Reuters)