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Silver reaches record highs as gold rebounds after Fed cuts expectations

Silver soared to record levels on Wednesday, as investors held onto expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut. This week, a number of U.S. economic data will determine the direction of monetary policy.

As of 0506 GMT spot gold was up 0.4% at $4,222.22 an ounce after falling by more than 1% the previous session. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery were up 0.8% to $4,252.90 an ounce.

GoldSilver Central MD Brian Lan stated that "we've seen some profits-taking in gold and moved into crypto or equity so we should be seeing a return, which is quite normal. Especially with the high chance of a rate reduction as we approach the close of the year."

According to CME's FedWatch, U.S. rate-futures now indicate an 89% probability of a rate reduction next week. This is up from 85% one week ago.

The recent U.S. economic data, which showed a slight slowdown in the economy, has reinforced expectations for a Fed rate reduction at its meeting on December 9-10. Major brokerages have also predicted policy easing.

Gold that does not yield a return tends to do well in environments with low interest rates.

Investors will also be watching the key data due this week. These include the November ADP Employment figures, which are scheduled to be released on Wednesday, and the September Personal Consumption Expenditures Index (PCE), the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, due on Friday.

The U.S. president Donald Trump announced on Tuesday that he will announce his choice to replace Jerome Powell in the Fed chair position early next year.

According to the World Gold Council, central banks purchased 53 tons of gold during October, a 36% increase month-on-month. This is the highest monthly net demand seen since 2025.

Silver rose 0.4% to $58.73/oz, after reaching a new session high of $58.94.

Silver is increasing due to physical shortages, as COMEX stocks are decreasing and China's inventories are also decreasing. We believe the fundamentals for silver are very bullish", said Kunal Sha, head of Nirmal Bang Commodities in Mumbai.

Palladium held steady at $1,462.27, and platinum rose 0.3% to $1 638.34. Ishaan arora reported from Bengaluru, Sherry Jacob Phillips edited by Harikrishnan Nair.

(source: Reuters)