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Gold prices rise on hopes of a US rate cut and government shutdown problems

Gold prices rose on Friday, as the Federal Reserve's expectations for further interest rate reductions and the U.S. economy outlook in the face of a prolonged shutdown boosted demand.

As of 1148 GMT, spot gold was up by 0.6% to $3,999.89 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery gained 0.4% per ounce to $4,008.20.

Independent analyst Ross Norman said, "The bull market is still going on."

The central banks' gold purchases and rate cuts are still on the table.

Data showed that the U.S. economy lost jobs in October, mainly due to losses in the retail and government sectors. Cost-cutting and artificial intelligence adoption by companies also led to an increase in announced layoffs.

Rate cuts are more likely to occur when the job market is weak.

The market participants are now predicting a 67% probability of a Fed rate reduction in December. This is up from 60% just before the report. Last week, the Fed cut rates and Chairman Jerome Powell said it could be the last time the borrowing costs are reduced for the year.

Soni Kumari is a commodity analyst with ANZ. She said that the focus now is on macroeconomic numbers, and when the U.S. government shutdown will end. This is helping to boost safe-haven gold demand.

The longest government shutdown in U.S. history has been caused by a congressional impasse. Investors and the Fed, who rely heavily on data, have had to rely instead on indicators from the private sector.

Silver spot rose 1.2% per ounce to $48.58. Palladium rose 0.7% and platinum 0.4%, respectively, to $1384.18. All three metals will lose money this week. (Reporting and editing by Ronojoy Mazumdar, Sahal Muhammed and Ishaan Patel in Bengaluru)

(source: Reuters)