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Goldman Sachs: Copper's breakout above $11,000 will be brief.

Goldman Sachs stated on Thursday that current copper market fundamentals warrant a price consolidate towards the upper end of their forecast range between $10,000 and $11,000 per metric tonne, but added that any break higher will not be sustained.

Copper

Smashed

On Wednesday, the price of gold surpassed its previous record of $11,104.50 to reach $11,200. This was due to concerns about supply and hope for a U.S. China trade agreement.

Analysts questioned, however, how far the rally could go without a sustained increase in demand.

The copper price fell on Thursday as the stronger dollar put pressure on this greenback priced asset.

Goldman Sachs stated that it does not expect the fundamental tightness in the copper markets to emerge within the next six-months. It said that the market would be in a modest surplus by 2026, even if you account for a significant decline in global refined product.

The investment bank stated that this is in line with its forecast of $10,500 per tonne copper for 2026.

It said that if the tightening market thesis does not materialize, investors will start to exit their long positions in copper in early 2026.

Goldman stated that although LME copper investor positions are stretched, COMEX interest is still low in comparison to the peak of 2024's second quarter, suggesting that further investor inflows could temporarily lift LME copper prices. (Reporting by Ishaan Arora and Swati Verma in Bengaluru; Editing by Harikrishnan Nair)

(source: Reuters)