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The price of aluminium in the US has risen, and this is driving Canadian deliveries.

The price of aluminium in the US has risen, and this is driving Canadian deliveries.

Analysts said that Canadian aluminium producers increased their deliveries to the United States as the U.S. physical market prices have risen in response to the 50% tariffs on imports imposed earlier this year by President Donald Trump. Analysts said that the tariffs imposed in June were intended to increase domestic aluminium production, and to encourage investment for the metal which is used in power, construction and packaging.

In the beginning, Canadian producers diverted aluminium to Europe. This flow has reversed as inventories of aluminium, which were a buffer to U.S. consumer, have decreased.

Not a 'full pace' yet

Jean Simard is the CEO of the Aluminum Association of Canada. He said that although there has been a revival of aluminium exports to the U.S., we are still not at full speed.

Simard was referring the trade flows that occurred in September and in October but have not yet been included in public data.

According to Trade Data Monitor, the total amount of aluminum shipped to the United States last year was 2.7 million tons. This is 70% of all shipments.

Aluminum consumers who buy on the physical market will pay the London Metal Exchange, which is around $2,750 per ton. They also have to add the Midwest Premium to cover taxes, shipping and handling.

On October 6, the premium reached a record of $0.77 per lb, or $1,697 for a ton. This is a 250% increase since January.

David Wilson, analyst at BNP Paribas, said: "The U.S. Midwest Premium is effectively fully pricing that 50% tariff."

The reduced pressure from Canadian aluminum has led to an increase in the European aluminium duty-paid premium. At $266 per ton, it has increased by 46% since June.

According to Trade Data Monitor, Canada's unwrought aluminum exports to the U.S. dropped by 22% or 410,600 tonnes, from January to August.

Data showed that in August, the U.S. received 123,474 tonnes of Canadian goods, a 51% decrease from March.

Canada's deliveries of aluminium to Europe increased by 94% in the first eight month of 2025, to 189.320 tons. Aluminium stocks in Comex storage facilities are increasing in the U.S. At 7,661 tonnes, the total is down 73% from January.

Edgardo Gellimino, Wood Mackenzie's head of aluminum research, said that without new trade agreements there is room to increase the Midwest premium.

(source: Reuters)