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Tinubu wants a 7% growth in Nigeria's economy by 2027

Bola Tinubu, the Nigerian president, set an annual growth target of 7% by 2027. He aims to lift millions of people out of poverty by then and to expand the economy four times larger than it is today by 2030.

Tinubu, who took office in 2023 and has been president since then, has devalued twice the naira and ended petrol and electric subsidies to increase Nigeria's slow production over the past decade. These steps have triggered the most severe cost of living crisis in generations and are yet to produce faster growth.

The rebasing of the gross domestic product boosted Nigeria's economy by 3.13% during the first quarter. The rebasing of the GDP increased the size to 372.822 trillion Naira ($243,55 billion) but growth was lower than expected.

Tinubu, in his address to the federal cabinet said that the reforms have boosted macroeconomic stability and investor's confidence. However, he cited low public savings, as a barrier to growth.

He added that public investment only accounts for 5% of the gross domestic product.

Tinubu told his team that to maintain the momentum of the country, they must maximize every naira. They were instructed to examine the revenue retentions and deductions made from the federal account. This included fees charged by the Customs agency, the Tax Agency, and the National Oil Company Ltd.

The Petroleum Industry Act (PIA), currently, allows NNPC 30% of certain revenues to be retained for the management of oil and gas operations. 30% of profits can also be deducted to fund exploration in frontier basins that are underexplored.

The government has been criticized for these significant retentions, which are excessive and lack transparency. They have contributed to the drain on revenue and inefficiencies of Nigeria's fiscal performance.

Tinubu set a 6% growth target when he took office two years earlier.

The World Bank predicts that Nigeria's economy will grow by 3.6% in 2019 and 3.8% between 2027.

(source: Reuters)