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LME suspends temporarily lending rules for cobalt contracts
After tracking the movement of stocks, the London Metal Exchange (LME), announced on Thursday that it had temporarily suspended certain lending obligations for parties who held large quantities of cobalt inventories under its contract. When one party is in a dominant position on the exchange, lending rules are triggered. This forces that party to lend material to other investors. In a press release, the LME announced that it had canceled its requirement for parties with cobalt positions equaling 90% or more available inventories to borrow at a standard premium. The document added that the measure was designed to make sure participants were not discouraged from holding live warrants, or delivering additional metal due to low stock levels. A warrant is an official document that shows ownership of the inventories at LME warehouses. The world's largest and oldest market for industrial metals has said that the temporary measures are only temporary. LME data does not currently show a position where 90% of inventories are cobalt or a dramatic fall in inventories. However, the data is delayed. Data shows that two parties have a significant short and long position in futures, which is equivalent to over 40% of the open interest. Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Ltd. is the owner of LME.
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Euro hits 4-month-high, stocks fall as Trump tariff developments weigh
The euro reached a four-month peak against the U.S. Dollar on Thursday, after the European Central Bank again cut interest rates as expected. Stock indexes also fell as investors assessed the impact of U.S. president Donald Trump's new tariffs. A day after the German Bund yield for 10-years saw its largest rise since the 1990s, the global bond market continued to sell off. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said on Thursday that Mexico will not be required to pay any tariffs until April 2 on any goods falling under the United States - Mexico - Canada Agreement on Trade. He did not mention a similar exemption for Canada even though his Commerce Secretary had stated it was likely. Trump imposed U.S. duties of 25% on Tuesday on imports coming from Mexico and Canada, along with new duties on Chinese products. This has added to the concerns about inflation and growth. Oliver Pursche is the senior vice president of Wealthspire Advisors, based in Westport, Connecticut. He said that investors speculate on what might happen and this causes a lot market volatility. He said, "They are afraid of the consequences that will be brought about by the actions taken. But we do not know yet what these consequences will be." A chipmaker index was down 4% as a disappointing Marvell sales forecast failed to excite investors. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 344.50 points or 0.80% to 42,662.21. The S&P 500 declined 78.80 or 1.35% to 5,763.60, and the Nasdaq Composite was down 323.94 or 1.74% to 18,229.72. The MSCI index of global stocks fell by 5.07 points or 0.59% to 853.64. The pan-European STOXX 600 rose by 0.13%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index soared over 3% and reached its highest level in three years, securing a 20% world-wide market surge by 2025. The euro rose by 0.5%, to $1.0848. It had earlier reached a four-month peak of $1.0854. The euro is up 4.5% this week and on track to be its largest weekly gain since May 2009. The European Central Bank said that monetary policy is becoming less restrictive. Traders interpreted this to mean a further cut in April may not be a certainty. The yield on the 10-year German Bund was up by 6 basis points to 2.847% after reaching as high as 2,929% Wednesday. German lawmakers will begin debating a 500 billion euro infrastructure fund as well as sweeping changes in state borrowing rules for funding defence on March 13. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes increased 4.4 basis points from late Wednesday to 4,311%. Investors also looked at the latest economic data to look for cracks before Friday's payroll report. According to the Labor Department's weekly initial claims for unemployment, they fell by 21,000 and now stand at 221,000 seasonally adjusted, which is below the 235,000 expected by economists polled. Commentary from European leaders was also in the spotlight. They said that they would stand with Ukraine and increase their defense spending in a world shattered by Trump's reversal in U.S. policy. Trump's suspension this week of military assistance to Kyiv stoked fears that the region could no longer depend on U.S. security, which has been in place since World War Two. U.S. crude dropped 0.65% to $65.86 per barrel. Brent was down to $68.97 a barrel, a drop of 0.46% for the day.
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EU countries want more flexibility in gas storage targets
EU diplomats have revealed that European Union countries are pushing back against a plan by the European Commission to extend the binding storage goals of the bloc for another two years. They want the goals to be more flexible. The European Commission proposed on Wednesday to keep Europe's binding goals to fill up gas storage until the year 2027. This was in response to calls from certain countries to soften them, but the EU executive said it would be more lenient when enforcing the targets. EU diplomats said that this did not satisfy the concerns of certain member countries who, at a Thursday meeting of diplomats of EU countries, demanded greater flexibility in the rules. Germany and the Netherlands have warned that the EU's requirements for filling storage tanks are driving up gas prices by signaling to the market the European buyers must buy. This leaves a large bill for countries who have large storage caverns. The EU's targets include a mandatory goal to fill storage caverns with gas to 90% capacity by the first of November each year. There are also a number of intermediate goals in the months preceding November. During the summer, the countries are looking for softer goals to allow them greater flexibility in achieving the November final goal. Two diplomats stated that a majority of EU member states had supported the call for soft targets at the meeting held on Thursday. The EU will now negotiate with the European parliament and approve an extension of the target. This gives them the chance to amend the rules. Gas storage goals were implemented in 2022, after Russia cut gas deliveries. This was to ensure EU countries have a buffer fuel supply during winter months when demand for gas heating is at its peak.
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Sudan files case against United Arab Emirates before the World Court
The International Court of Justice announced on Thursday that Sudan had filed a complaint against the United Arab Emirates for allegedly breaching its obligations under Genocide Convention through the arming of the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces. A UAE official stated in a press release that the United Arab Emirates would seek an immediate dismissal of this case. The UAE said there was no "legal or factual basis" for it. The charges relate to the intense ethnic-based attacks carried out by the RSF, and other Arab militias in West Darfur in 2023 against the non Arab Masalit tribe. These attacks were documented in great detail by. The United States declared these attacks genocide in January. The Sudanese Foreign Ministry did not respond immediately to a comment request. The government's application has been seen. Sudanese officials accuse the UAE frequently of supporting RSF, government rivals in a civil war that has lasted almost two years. The UAE denies the charges, but U.N. expert and U.S. legislators have found them credible. Sudan has filed a complaint with the ICJ alleging that the RSF is responsible for "genocide and murder, theft of properties, rapes, forced displacement, trespassings, vandalism, destruction of public property, and violations of human rights." It said that "according to Sudan, these acts were 'perpetrated' and 'enabled' by the United Arab Emirates' direct support of the rebel RSF and other militia groups," it added. The official from the UAE said: "The UAE has been made aware of the recent submission by the Sudanese armed forces representative to the International Court of Justice. This is nothing but a cynical public relations stunt designed to divert attention away from the complicity of Sudanese armed forces (SAF) with the atrocities which continue to destroy Sudan and its people." The war between Sudanese Army and RSF, which broke out after a power battle over the integration of forces in April 2023 has devastated the nation, spreading disease and hunger, while also threatening its fragmentation. It has attracted several foreign powers. The war has caused ethnic violence in many areas. However, the most bloody attacks were reported in West Darfur. There, survivors said that Masalit children were killed and young women raped in waves of attacks shortly after the conflict began. The ICJ is U.N.'s highest court. It deals with disputes between countries and violations of international agreements. Sudan and the UAE both signed the 1948 Genocide Convention. Sudan asks the court to issue emergency measures, and order the Emirates not to commit such acts of genocidal violence. The ICJ will hear the case in a few weeks. However, it may take several years for the court to issue a ruling that could determine if a genocidal act has been committed in Darfur. RSF and its allies are in the process setting up a rival government to that of the army-aligned group which has taken Port Sudan, on the Red Sea. This move was rejected by Egypt and Saudi Arabia. (Reporting and writing by Maha El-Dahan, Stephanie van den Berg Khalid Abdelaziz and Bart Meijer, Editing by Toby Chopra & William Maclean; Writing by Nafisa eltahir)
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Citgo Petroleum's profits plummeted by $305 million in 2024
Citgo Petroleum, a U.S. refiner owned by Venezuela, reported a net profit of $305 million last year. This was below the projected $2 billion profit for 2023. The company also revealed a loss of $146 million in the fourth quarter. The ownership of the seventh-largest refiner in the United States could change if the winning bidder for its shares is selected in a Delaware court-organized auction to compensate 18 creditors who have defaulted on debts or been expropriated in Venezuela. In 2024, a "deteriorating price environment" coupled with lower volumes processed of oil earlier in the year resulted in lower profitability. The fourth quarter loss was attributed to weak refining margins. Last year, the refinery's total production was 811 000 barrels per day. Of this amount, crude runs accounted for 753,000 barrels per daily (bpd) with a 93% utilization rate. These numbers were consistent with those of the previous year. The Corpus Christi refinery, which processes crude at 167,000 bpd and has a capacity of 463,000 bpd, increased its crude utilization rate to 96% after finishing maintenance and turnaround activities in the fourth quarter. In the third quarter, the Lemont refinery, located in Illinois and processing mostly Canadian crude oil, recorded a crude usage of 98%. Citgo's Chief Executive Carlos Jorda said that despite the fact that the fourth quarter was a low-margin period, the reliability of the company and its highest average quarterly crude utilization rate were not enough to compensate for it. He added, "We continued to implement our strategic initiatives while we fought a difficult market throughout the year." Citgo's volume of marketing sales for the year totaled 421,000 bpd. Citgo's trading activities were expanded into new markets including South Africa and Japan, and the firm saw a rise in sales of jet-fuel to airlines. Investors are looking for year-end liquidity to determine bids at the auction organized by the court. This has declined from $4 billion to $3.8 billion, which includes a securitization and secured notes facility. Cash on hand was used to redeem all outstanding senior secured notes of $1.125 billion due in June 2025.
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Study finds that Germany's lithium reserves can sustain domestic demand for decades
A study released on Thursday showed that Germany has enough lithium reserves for its own needs over several decades. Berlin is trying to increase its production of electric vehicles and reduce its dependence on imports. According to the German Raw Materials Agency, Germany's lithium consumption could reach up to 0.17 millions metric tons annually by 2030. The German automotive industry imports lithium from Australia, Argentina Chile and China in order to meet its battery production requirements. Researchers and companies are exploring ways to extract the lithium byproduct from geothermal energy in Germany's Upper Rhine Valley, to increase domestic supply as well as renewable heating and electricity solutions. The Federal Institute for Geosciences and Natural Resources and Fraunhofer IEG found that Germany has up to 26,51 million metric tonnes of lithium in deep underground water, especially in the North German Basin and central Thuringian Basin. This assessment of potential was new. "When you add it all up, there are surprisingly large lithium reserves lying dormant below the earth's surface," Katharina A. Alms, Fraunhofer IEG research leader, said. Geologists estimate that in 2021 the Upper Rhine Valley, located in the Black Forest region of southwest Germany, will hold enough lithium to power more than 400,000,000 electric vehicles. Despite concerns about the difficulty of extracting lithium, Lithium exploration in Germany has increased. Esso Deutschland, a subsidiary of ExxonMobil, received four exploration licenses in Lower Saxony last December. Neptune Energy, a German oil company, announced in August that it had received exploration permits in the eastern state Saxony Anhalt. Alms stated that extracting lithium from Germany is not easy as there are no high concentrations everywhere, and exploration can be unpredictable. She added that many of the lithium deposits are trapped in rocks with low permeability, which makes extraction difficult. Surface extraction methods can also be time-consuming and complex to implement at large scales. According to the ZVEI trade group, Germany will import 23.7 billion Euros worth of lithium batteries by 2023.
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South African Health Agency calls for phase-out of coal-fired electricity stations
A South African government agency that is influential recommended Thursday that the country phase out its coal-fired energy stations. It published a study over ten years which showed people who lived near these power plants were 6% more susceptible to dying than those living elsewhere. South African officials, as well as citizens, are arguing over how quickly the country should implement a programme partly funded by donors to move away from coal and towards solar and wind power. The fossil fuel is responsible for three-quarters of the country's power, and 90,000 jobs are supported by it. The South African Medical Research Council and the Department for International Development of Britain (DFID), in a report, collected and compared nearly 3 million death records from 1997-2018. The study found that communities near power plants had higher rates of birth defects, and deaths among all age groups -- particularly from heart and lung diseases. Caradee Wright, co-author of the report in Pretoria, said: "Some recommendations include... the decommissioning of power stations." She said, "We know... it won't happen right away." "But... (coal-fired energy) has such a negative effect on human health." Wright called for a more strict enforcement of the harmful emission limits in South Africa’s coal belt. The region is home to 3.6 million people. Eskom, the state-owned power company, and Sasol, the coal-to liquid fuel producer, are often exempted from these limits by the African National Congress, which is divided on the future of coal-fired plants in the country.
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The bond market continues to sell off after the German spending pledge
The world financial markets continued to readjust their course after U.S. president Donald Trump's shaking up of the transatlantic relations prompted a seismic shift in German infrastructure and defence spending. As expected, the European Central Bank has cut interest rates once again. They also said that monetary policy is becoming less restrictive. This led traders to believe that another cut could not be guaranteed in April, giving a boost to the euro. This would normally be enough to distract traders. It was only one factor among many. A global bond market sale is still underway a day after Germany's 10-year Bund yield, a major driver for borrowing costs worldwide, saw its largest rise since the 1990s. These Bund yields are now up by 6 basis points to 2.847% after reaching as high as 2,929% on Tuesday. After the decision, the euro rose up to 0.5% and reached a four-month high at $1.0845. European stocks took a break after a 10% gain this year. Jim Reid of Deutsche Bank said that the Bund yield spike on Wednesday was the largest since German unification in 1990. This is a seismic change of epic proportions, and only nimble and fast-money investors have responded thus far. Overnight, the global implications became apparent. The yield on the 10-year Japanese government bond, another important driver of borrowing costs worldwide, has reached a 16-year high. Meanwhile, in the early U.S. trade, the yield on 10-year Treasury notes was rising again despite increasing bets that more Federal Reserve rate reductions would follow recent patchy US data. The focus remained on global trade after the United States imposed 25% tariffs on imports of goods from Mexico and Canada on Tuesday, along with new duties on Chinese products. White House said Wednesday that Mexican and Canadian automakers will be exempt from their respective countries' tariffs during the month of March, as long as they comply with existing free-trade rules. Wall Street futures predicted that the S&P 500 index would fall again when trading resumes in Wall Street. The S&P 500 index has been in the red this year after a difficult run that saw it fall eight times in the last ten sessions. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan closed at 1.25% higher, while Tokyo's Nikkei ended 0.8% higher. China's blue chip index rose by another 1.4%, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index soared over 3%. It reached its highest level in three years. This is a significant world market-topping surge of 20% for 2025. RESPONSE OF THE ECB After U.S. President Donald Trump suspended military aid to Kyiv last week, fears were stoked that the region could no longer depend on U.S. security in place since World War Two. The euro was unchanged at $1.08 and just shy of the four-month high it reached during early Asian trading. The euro is expected to rise by more than 4% in the coming week, which would be its best performance since March 2009. Julien Lafargue is the chief market strategist of Barclays Private Bank. He said that this (ECB meeting) could be very exciting given the current circumstances. Lafargue stated that the ECB president Christine Lagarde would be asked how she plans to respond to Europe's increased defence spending. Gold prices fell by 0.4%, to $2,906 per ounce, ahead of the non-farm payrolls data due on Friday, which could provide clues about Federal Reserve policy. After a week of stumbling, oil prices are now trying to recover. This is due to a bigger than expected increase in U.S. crude stock, OPEC+'s plans to boost output and U.S. Tariffs on important oil supplies. Brent futures are at $69.52 per barrel, up by 0.35% for the day but still near three-year lows.
Trudeau: Canada and US will continue to be at war in the near future.
Justin Trudeau, the Prime Minister, said that Canada would continue to be involved in a war of trade with the United States, for the foreseeable. This was a day following what Trudeau called a "colorful call" with President Donald Trump.
Trudeau reiterated that Canada will continue to engage senior Trump Administration officials regarding tariffs Washington has said it will impose against Canadian imports. He also stated his desire to have the measures removed.
He told reporters in Ottawa that "I can confirm we will continue to engage in a US-led trade war for the foreseeable" future.
Canada immediately imposed tariffs of 25% on US imports worth C$30 billion. Trudeau stated that these measures would continue until the Trump administration ended their trade action.
Trudeau, Trudeau, and Trump held a phone call for 50 minutes on Wednesday. Trump accuses Canada not doing enough in order to stop the flow fentanyl, and of illegal migrants, across the border.
It was a colorful phone call. Trudeau said that it was a substantive call, but added that both sides were still in discussions and had no announcements yet.
"We're... trying our best to ensure that these tariffs do not overly hurt, at least in the short-term, certain sectors."
A common topic of discussion is whether Canada will delay a second round 25% tariffs that are due to be implemented in less than 3 weeks on another C$125 billion worth of U.S. imported goods.
Trump will
Exempt
The White House announced on Wednesday that automakers will be exempt from tariffs against Canada and Mexico as long as they adhere to existing free-trade rules.
Trudeau said that "any carve-outs which support workers in Canada – even if they are just for one particular industry – will be good."
The Canadian Prime Minister will resign once the Liberal Party, which is ruling in Canada, chooses a leader for this Sunday. He has had a bad relationship with Trump, and he took a shot at the president who made his name as a real-estate mogul.
"A win-lose would be worse than a win. He said that this is true for international trade and in the relations between nations.
He said that in the real estate business, a win/lose deal is better than a "win-win" for those who are experienced. Reporting by David Ljunggren, Promit Mukherjee and Andrea Ricci; editing by Chizu nomiyama.
(source: Reuters)