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GRAINS-CBOT Soybeans fall from two-week-high as US dollar strength weighs down on market

The Chicago Board of Trade soybeans futures dipped on Thursday after hitting a two-week high in the previous session. A stronger dollar and lower oil prices tempered a rally fueled by talk of Chinese consumption.

The rebound on grain markets has slowed, as traders adjust their positions in anticipation of the US holiday weekend. The traders reported that a flurry of U.S. news about exports on Thursday morning kept prices a little bit lower. Exporters sold 132,000 tons of?U.S. The U.S. Department of Agriculture reported that it sold soybeans to China and another 120,000 tons of beans to unidentified destinations. It also said that 285,775 tonnes of corn were shipped to Mexico. USDA reports that all are for delivery during the 2026/27 year.

Many market traders worry that China will not purchase the soybean volume USDA predicted for this year. It's not surprising, then, that China has?returned to U.S. markets as prices have fallen.

Chuck Shelby, market analyst and broker for Zaner 'Ag Hedge, said that the buyers were value-based. With the price drop, it's logical that buyers would want to get a better deal.

Shelby stated that traders will be looking for stress signs in the Midwest corn and soybean crops as we move into next week. Shelby said that recent heavy rains in eastern Iowa, central Illinois, Indiana and parts of Ohio, have prevented farmers from spraying or applying nitrogen fertilizers. The excess water could also be harmful to plants.

Shelby explained that "when you look at the total rainfalls in these areas during June, you will see an excessive amount." "I would expect crop rating conditions to begin falling."

At 11:54 AM CDT (1654 GMT), the most active soybean contract was down by 0.63% to $11.42 per bushel. The benchmark reached a two week high on Wednesday after recovering from a four month low on Monday.

CBOT Wheat was down 1.69% at $6.10-3/4 bushels, while CBOT Corn lost 1.13% at $4.16-1/4 bushels after reaching a week-high.

Chicago's markets will be closed on Friday, Juneteenth for the holiday.

Dollar index reaches a new high of one year after Federal Reserve policy meeting reinforced expectations that interest rates will be raised in the United States this year. A stronger dollar makes U.S. commodities dearer for overseas buyers. Crude oil dropped to its lowest level since the beginning of the 'Iran War' as a temporary deal to end the conflict and reopen Strait of Hormuz improved the global supply outlook. The rise of Russian attacks against Ukrainian seaports, vessels and terminals could reduce monthly grain shipments as much as one third. Terminal operators are now facing losses that they claim they can't cover on their own. (Additional reporting from Gus Trompiz and Naveen Thkral in Singapore, with editing by Kirby Donovan.)

(source: Reuters)