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Los Angeles rebuilding is complicated by rising seas

Los Angeles wildfire survivors debate rebuilding

Climate change adaptation and rising sea levels are key issues

City of Malibu does not plan a'managed retreat'

Rachel Parsons

Joan is planning to rebuild her Malibu house, located just outside Los Angeles. Laurie, citing the climate change, doesn't.

The conflicting views of the siblings reflect a wider conflict that is affecting communities all along the scenic California coast.

Communities are debating whether to rebuild along the sandy coastline or not. Climate change is linked with rising sea levels, more frequent and severe flooding and storms.

The City of Malibu has pledged to help fire victims rebuild quickly and to protect the multi-billion-dollar shoreline of its city from climate change.

Its plans exclude the so-called "managed retreat", which helps residents to move away from shore.

Experts in planning and policy say Malibu may be missing an important window to adapting to the rising seas.

Climate change adaptation can be complicated by the conflicting laws and regulations of cities, counties and states that affect private property rights.

Anne Guerry is a scientist at Stanford University in California and the lead scientist for the Natural Capital Project.

She said that while it might sound like a great idea, it is difficult to talk about people's homes and life savings.

The numbers speak for themselves. In 2020, a nonpartisan state analysis found that between $8 and $10 billion in California coastal property "is expected to be under water" within 30 years.

The report stated that if the highest projections of sea levels manifested, "up to two thirds of Southern California's beaches could become completely eroded before 2100."

According to the World Meteorological Organization (a U.N. agency), global sea levels have risen at a rate more than twice as fast as they did during the first decade of measurements between 1993 and 2002. They will reach a record-high in 2023.

Sea levels rose 4.62mm per year on average between 2013-2022 due to extreme glacier melting and ocean heat records.

At the center of the controversy is the land left by the Zoloth sisters to their parents.

Laurie Zoloth is an ethicist from the University of Chicago who has written about climate change and its ethical implications.

Joan Zoloth knows the risks of climate change, and three generations in her family have lost their homes to the Palisades Fire.

She wants to give her children a Malibu home.

Zoloth, an ex-journalist, said: "I'm afraid of it." "I have talked about it with my children, and they are aware of it. They believe in science.

They still mention wanting to rebuild.

Laurie Zoloth said it's one thing to write about disasters in theory, but "it is quite another to have to sift through the ashes from one's childhood."

She thinks that they should still sell.

COASTLINES ARE CHANGING

Matt Myerhoff said that even if Malibu were to purchase destroyed properties, there was no plan for this. "Where would the money come?" he asked.

The price of intact homes on the Malibu coast ranges from $5 million to $10 million. Wildfires destroyed hundreds of homes, but the lots are still worth millions.

The total revenue of the city for fiscal years 2024-2025 is $85,9 million.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom vetoed a 2022 bill that offered low-interest loans for municipalities to purchase vulnerable properties and rent them back to residents.

He acknowledged that the plan could be useful for dealing with an ever-changing coastline but said it was lacking a "statewide context".

Officials in Malibu declined an interview request but wrote that they are "rebuilding the city with resilience, safety and sustainability," which includes ensuring that coastal reconstruction will meet Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA's) projections of sea level rise requirements.

RETREAT COMMUNITIES

Financial options are available for communities who choose to retreat.

FEMA offers a grant to help municipalities purchase at-risk properties from their owners.

Zachary Lamb is a professor at the Department of City and Regional Planning at University of California Berkeley. He said that rolling easements were another long-term solution.

Lamb explained that an easement is a way for a land trust or city to purchase a property right that will be triggered by certain physical thresholds, such as a sea level rise insurmountable.

He said, "You could purchase it in advance." This easement allows the owner to use some capital elsewhere.

Lamb explained that buy-and-leaseback schemes are controversial because the cities rely on property taxes. "There's therefore a real incentive to not reduce their property tax roll" by becoming landlords.

He said, however, that the retreat from Malibu, and other coastal communities is "inevitable," whether it's managed or not.

Guerry stated that the insurance industry would eventually force a retreat by refusing beachfront property to be insured as sea levels rise.

(source: Reuters)