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GRAINS-Chicago soyabeans fall in anticipation of Middle East ceasefire
Chicago soybean futures declined on Wednesday. They tracked losses in soyoil due to lower crude oil prices, based on reports that the U.S. was seeking a ceasefire of a month for its war against Iran. The price of corn and wheat futures also declined. As of 0325 GMT, the?most active?soybean contracts on the Chicago Board of Trade slipped 0.2% to $11.52-3//4 a bushel. Soyoil dropped 0.8% to 65.21cents per pound. CBOT corn fell 0.7% and wheat dropped 6%, to $4.59-1/2 per bushel. The oil prices fell more than 5% on Wednesday, as a result of reports that the U.S. had sent Iran a plan in 15 points to end their war. Brent crude futures were down $6.21 or 5.9% to $98.28 per barrel at 0058 GMT after falling to as low as $97.57. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell $4.67 or 5.1% to $87.68 per barrel after dropping as low as $86.72. The price of grains and oilseeds has tracked crude oil fluctuations during the conflict. This is due to the use corn and soyoil for biofuels, and the interest investors have shown in these crops as a hedge against inflation. Brazil's soya exports to South America in March dropped by 17.9% compared with the average for the entire month of last year. During the rally caused by the Iranian Crisis, the wheat export price in?Russia, a major grain supplier, remained at a level that was 'nearly three weeks highsreached. Analysts have raised their March shipment forecasts due to accelerated exports. The Russian government, which controls up to 40% of global ammonium nitrate trade, announced on Tuesday that it would stop exports for a month, until April 21, in order to ensure a sufficient supply of fertilizer during spring planting season. From disruptions in Gulf shipping to sharply increased gas prices, the impact of the 'war' on fertilizer markets could have knock-on effects for crop production.
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Iron ore falls after 3-session rally over Tangshan production curbs
Iron ore futures fell on Wednesday, after a?three-session rally. Fears of production 'cuts' in China’s steelmaking center of Tangshan pushed the price down. However, losses were?limited, as possible supply disruptions in Australia curbed declines. As of 0332 GMT, the?most-traded? May iron ore contract at China's Dalian Commodity Exchange fell by 1.46% to 89.5 yuan (US$117.47) per metric ton. Iron ore benchmark April on the Singapore Exchange fell 1.46%, to $106.1 per ton. According to a WeChat announcement by the local authorities, Tangshan activated an emergency response of 'level two' on March 25 due to heavy air pollution. This stoked concerns about steel production cuts and increased environmental inspections at mills. World Steel Association data released on Tuesday showed that global crude steel production dropped 2.2% from the previous year to 141.8 millions tonnes. In February, output from China -- the world's largest producer and consumer -- dropped 3.6% to 76.1 millions tonnes. Steel prices and margins have been under pressure due to the persistent oversupply of steel in China. Beijing reiterated their commitment to reduce steel production earlier this month. This reinforced expectations that demand would be weaker in the future, leading to a drop in prices. The downside has been curbed by potential supply disruptions, especially in Australia, which is the largest iron ore exporter in the world. According to the Bureau of 'Meteorology' in Australia and a note by ANZ, a cyclone is threatening mining activities off Australia's northeast 'coast' this week. ANZ said that the storm may have impacted open pit mines as well. Coking coal and coke both lost 2.14% and 1.69% respectively. The steel benchmarks at the Shanghai Futures Exchange have mostly declined. Rebar fell by 0.45%, while hot-rolled coils dropped 0.33%. Wire rod also lost 0.39%. Meanwhile, stainless steel rose 0.73%. $1 = 6.8910 Yuan (Reporting and editing by Ruth Chai)
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Copper rebounds on softer dollar, Middle East de-escalation hopes
Prices of copper rose on Wednesday as a softer dollar and renewed hope for a deescalation of the Middle East conflict boosted?demand prospects. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract rose by 1.36%, to 95,800 Yuan ($13.916.13) per ton at 0153 GMT. The benchmark three-month copper price on the London Metal Exchange rose 1.49%, to $12281 per tonne. The market sentiment improved significantly after U.S. President Donald Trump stated on Tuesday that Washington was making progress in its negotiations to end the war with Iran and had won an important concession from Tehran. Analysts at Everbright Futures wrote in a report that the expectation of a de-escalation between the U.S. The U.S. and Iran negotiations are still uncertain. The copper prices in Shanghai and London both?lost some ground on Tuesday, as rising energy prices and a protracted Iran war intensified fears?over inflation? and the global economic growth outlook. The base metals complex also received a boost from a softer dollar, which made commodities priced in dollars cheaper for buyers who used other currencies. SHFE aluminium increased by 0.8%. Nickel?and Lead advanced by 0.55%, while tin rose 3.94% and zinc edged upwards 0.13%. Nickel?rose 1.3 %, lead gained 0.61 %, tin grew 3.03 %, zinc jumped 1.13% and aluminium fell 0.51%.
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Filings show that a Valero refinery explosion and fire were caused by a fluid release.
A release of fluid set off an explosion and ensuing fire ?that forced the temporary shutdown of ?Valero Energy Corp's 380,000-barrel-per-day (bpd) oil refinery ?in ?Port Arthur, Texas, according to a notice the company filed with state pollution regulators on Tuesday. The people reported that no injuries were reported in connection with the explosion of the Unit 243 Diesel Hydrotreater (47 000 bpd) unit. The date for the restart of the refinery has not been announced. Valero filed a notice with the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality on Tuesday night stating that an unpredicted release of fluid from Complex 2 caused a?ignition event and multiple process units upsets. Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz - a vital waterway for Middle East oil and refined products - in retaliation to U.S. air strikes and Israeli attacks. Donta Miller is the chief deputy of the Jefferson County Sheriff. She said that on Tuesday, there was no proof the explosion, which could be felt up to 11 miles away (18 km), occurred as a result of someone deliberately attempting to damage a refinery. Since Monday, online posts have suggested that the Port Arthur refinery blast was caused by sabotage either by Iranian or Israeli agents. Miller replied, "No we are not looking into it in that way." Sources said that shutting down the refinery would be necessary to put out the fire by cutting off the flammable materials which were feeding it. As firefighters fought the fire, the refinery's water and steam supply was cut off. Diesel hydrotreaters remove sulfur from motor fuels using hydrogen during production in order to comply with U.S. Environmental Rules. The fire was extinguished on Tuesday, and the shelter-in place order issued to west?Port Arthur's residents at 6:20 pm CDT (1120 GMT), on Monday?was lifted just before 6 am CDT, on Tuesday. The TCEQ filed states that the Valero refinery closed its large crude distillation units, gasoline-producing 'fluidic catalytic crackers, diesel-producing 'hydrocrackers, cokers and sulfur re-covery units. Hydrotreaters, reformers, alkylation units, and hydrotreaters. Valero Port Arthur, its largest refinery, is located 86 miles (138 kilometers) east of Houston. (Reporting from Houston by Erwin Seba; Additional reporting in Bengaluru by Ishaan arora and Swati verma; Editing by Susan Fenton and Howard Goller)
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Oil prices fall on prospects of Middle East ceasefire alleviating supply disruption
Prices of oil?dropped more than 5%?Wednesday? on the prospect that a 'possible? ceasefire would ease supply disruptions in the Middle East region, after reports that the U.S. had sent Iran a plan with 15 points to end their war. Brent crude futures dropped $6.21 or 5.9% to $98.28 per barrel at 0058 GMT after falling to $97.57. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell $4.67 or 5.1% to $87.68 per barrel after dropping as low as $86.72. Both benchmarks gained nearly 5% Tuesday before paring their gains in volatile trading after the settlement. Hiroyuki KIKUWA, the chief strategist at Nissan Securities Investment (a unit of Nissan Securities), said that expectations of a 'ceasefire' have increased slightly, and profit-taking has taken over. He added, "But it remains uncertain whether the negotiations will be successful and limit sales." If fighting resumes and Iran attacks?energy installations in neighbouring nations or if the pressure to close Strait of Hormuz increases, oil prices could surge again, he warned. U.S.?President Donald Trump stated on Tuesday that the U.S. is making progress in negotiating an ending to the war with Iran. A source confirmed Washington had sent Iran 15-point proposal for settlement. Israel's Channel 2 reported that the U.S. is seeking a one-month ceasefire in order to discuss the plan. The plan includes dismantling Iran's nuke program, ending support for proxy groups and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. The International Energy Agency called it the largest oil supply disruption ever. The?Prime Minister of Pakistan said on Tuesday that he would be willing to host discussions between the U.S. Iran has denied any negotiations with the U.S. According to a Tuesday note, Iran told the?United Nations Security Council (UNSC) and the International Maritime Organization (IMO) that "non-hostile ships" could transit the Strait of Hormuz if coordinated with Iranian authorities. Sources said Washington is preparing to send more troops into the region. Shipping data show that to offset the disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, Saudi Arabia's Red Sea Yanbu Port exported oil at a rate of nearly 4 million barrels a day last week. This is compared with exports before war began. (Reporting and editing by Christopher Cushing, Christian Schmollinger and Yuka Obayashi)
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Philippines: Working with Washington for oil from sanctioned U.S. countries
The Philippines' ambassador to the United States stated that it is working closely with Washington in order to securing waivers and exceptions to allow oil to be purchased from sanctioned U.S. countries. This will 'ensure supply. The Philippines, which is heavily dependent on imported fuels, declared on Tuesday a national energy emergency in order to deal with Middle East War fallout, including oil procurement. In a series of phone messages, Jose Manuel Romualdez said: "We're working with the State Department on getting waivers or exemptions for oil purchases from sanctioned U.S. countries." Romualdez responded that "all options" are being considered when asked if Venezuelan oil and Iranian oil were included in the discussions. When asked what the State Department's response was, the ambassador said: "Work is in progress." The government of the Philippines said that as of March 20, it had enough fuel to last the Philippines for 45 days. It is also purchasing 1 million barrels more oil in order to increase its buffer stock. The government was authorized to buy fuel and petroleum products in order to maintain a timely and sufficient supply. Manila temporarily increased its coal-fired production due to 'energy supply' pressures. The United States granted a 30-day waiver to allow the country to import its first Russian crude in five years this week. Washington also announced a 30-day waiver of sanctions for the purchase of Iranian oil that is already in?sea. The waiver is applicable to oil loaded on any vessel including those under sanctions on or before March 20, and discharged on April 19,
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Reports of a ceasefire in the Middle East have caused oil prices to fall and stocks to rise.
On Wednesday, oil prices fell and stocks rose on reports that the U.S. was seeking a ceasefire for one month in its war against?Iran. The U.S. had also sent Iran a 15-point discussion plan, which raised hopes of a possible resumption of?oil exports from the Persian Gulf. S&P 500 futures increased 0.9% on the morning of Asia, European futures?rose 1.2%, and Brent crude?futures fell?about 6% at $98.30 per barrel. In the morning, equity markets in Australia, South Korea and Japan all rose by about 2%. Gold, which investors were selling in order to profit from a long rally rose by 1.6%. The market is trading headlines right now, said Kerry Craig. Global market strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. The tone is positive. "The difficulty now is...there's still uncertainty about what will happen next and whether a ceasefire would be possible." U.S. president Donald Trump stated?on Wednesday that the U.S. is making progress in the negotiations to end the war. This includes winning an important concession by Tehran. A source confirmed Washington had sent Iran a settlement proposal of 15 points. Channel 12 in Israel, citing three sources said that the U.S. wanted a one-month ceasefire for the discussion of the 15-point Plan. Tehran denies that direct talks took place. CAUTIOUS OPTIMISM The markets have responded positively, but cautiously, to the rumblings that began Monday, indicating the U.S. was looking to end hostilities. It is still unclear if much progress has been made on the opening of the Strait of Hormuz to oil tankers. The dollar has been slightly lower this week - it bought 158.8yen on Wednesday and traded at $1.1620 for the euro. Brent crude prices are up 35% from the start of the war and have reached a level near $100 per barrel, which is already hurting the economies of buyers in Asia. They pay more for diesel and jet fuel. The interest rate markets are also predicting that central banks will take extreme measures to combat inflation. They have priced in a series hikes for Europe, Britain and Australia over the next few months, as well as no more U.S. rate reductions. In Tokyo, benchmark 10-year Treasury yields dropped by around five basis points. Two-year yields also fell to 3.875%. Bond prices increase, and yields drop. LIGHT POSITIONING Marc Velan is the head of investments at Lucerne Asset Management in Singapore. People are reluctant to pursue moves that are headline-driven, and can reverse rapidly. Sources said Washington is preparing to send more troops into the region. On Tuesday, two people with knowledge of the situation said that the U.S. is 'expected to send thousands" of soldiers from its elite 82nd Airborne Division in the Middle East. The Australian dollar hovered around 70 U.S. Cents after the February inflation data, from before the outbreak of war, was a little cooler than expected. Investors have been spooked by the recent cap on withdrawals from a private debt funds, as a result of signs of stress. Ares Management was the latest asset management firm to do this. The shares of Ares, a company that managed assets worth $623 billion at the end 2025, dropped 1% on Monday. So far in 2018, they are down 36%. (Reporting and editing by Sam Holmes; Tom Westbrook)
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Minister says Australia will set a floor price for its critical mineral reserves
Australia will "no doubt", have a floor price in its strategic reserve of critical minerals. Resources Minister,?Madeleine King, said this?on Wednesday. The resource-rich nation is looking to consolidate its role as an important supplier to its allies. "We are building a strategic reserve." "There will also be a price floor," King said to delegates at the Minerals Week summit in Canberra. He added that the government would consult with the industry for the 'right price. It is about a new pricing mechanism that reflects the cost of producing these materials." Australia plans to become the world's leading supplier of rare earth minerals, which are vital to industries ranging from automotive to defense. This will be achieved in part by developing a strategic reserve, with funding of A$1.2billion ($793m). The project is expected to start up in the second half 2026. This will highlight the country's ambitions of becoming a major player on the global mineral market. Australia also supports private investment through entities like the Northern Australia Infrastructure Fund and the Export Finance Agency (EFA), which will contribute an additional A$4 Billion. King said that Australia needs to be financially prepared for such projects in the long term if it wants to establish itself as a reliable supplier of 'critical minerals' as global supply chains are rebuilt. "They're long-term investments" King stated, "I do think we will have to continue doing this for a while." China is the largest producer and refiner of critical minerals for industry. Last year, its restrictions on certain exports shook up the automotive and defense industries and drove a global drive to diversify supply.
As wildfires erase forests, Greeks argument: to replant, or not?
When a wildfire tore down a. hillside towards Athens last month, its southernmost flank. stopped in a treeless area burned by fire two years in the past. A few. miles west, nevertheless, the blaze found fresh fuel: woods and scrub. that provided a course towards the city's residential areas.
In its way stood the leafy village of Penteli, where Marlena. Kaloudi has lived considering that the 1970s. The fire swept through her. house. However what harmed most when she returned was the sight of her. pine trees, some over 100 years of ages, charred to an autumnal. brown.
The most significant catastrophe ... is not our house - this can be. brought back, stated Kaloudi, sitting by her gutted back deck. It's. those trees that were here before us and we hoped and prayed. would be here after us.
The devastation is a familiar sight in Greece and throughout the. Mediterranean region where fires have ended up being more regular and. strong, driven by greater temperatures and drier conditions that. researchers connect to environment change.
In the Attica region surrounding Athens, blazes have. destroyed 37% of its forests and meadows considering that 2017,. according to information launched in August by the National Observatory. of Athens, a government-funded research study centre. More than 60% of. broad-leafed forest and 41% of coniferous forest has actually been burned. and has not completely regrown.
The loss raises the risk of flash floods from rains on. denuded grounds no longer safeguarded by tree canopies and root. systems, in addition to greater air temperatures brought on by the. heating of unshaded ground, desertification and poorer air. quality, four experts stated.
It has actually likewise ignited an argument about what the government. reaction ought to be: continue with a program of replanting trees. that might offer fuel for future fires, or, as some scientists. desire, search for brand-new methods to adjust.
For Kaloudi, it's an apparent choice. After the last fire,. which went on to smother the city's northern residential areas, her. neighbours asked her to cut down the staying trees in her. garden. She refused.
The loss of this forest frightens me, she stated. What. scares me is the fact that there are individuals who want to cut the. trees that are left.
PLANT MORE TREES?
Wildfires have drastically modified Attica's landscape,. satellite images show. Hillsides, forested a few years earlier, have. become bald and rocky. Locations where forests do resprout are often. reburned. Bird song has actually vanished with the trees.
Data from Global Forest Watch, an effort that utilizes. satellites to track deforestation, shows that of all the. fire-related forest loss in Attica given that 2000, 74% has actually taken place. since 2017.
Greece is not alone. The U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on. Environment Modification (IPCC) has actually highlighted the Mediterranean region. as a 'international environment hotspot', with an increase in surface. temperature levels of 1.5 C from pre-industrial levels already driving. an increased threat of wildfires and drought.
Wildfires are also a growing danger in the United States,. Canada, Australia, and even the rainy United Kingdom. With that. threat has actually come an argument about what to do with a forest once it. has actually burned.
Some wish to replant trees to bring back root systems and to. recover lost carbon sinks. Others state forests and fire zones do. not mix.
Up until now, there is no clear evidence of which side is appropriate,. and regional elements identify what is best, the 4 specialists said. Still, some say a rethink is needed, specifically in areas where. the same locations are being repeatedly burned.
There is no terrific consensus on what to do, stated Camille. Stevens-Rumann, associate professor of fire ecology at Colorado. State University. Individuals typically want places to look like how. they did before, but that may not be suitable in a new fire. program.
Greece desires its forests back. With the aid of 450 million. euros from the EU, the federal government has embraced a nationwide fire. prevention plan that likewise consists of planting 1 million trees in. Attica.
The increase of greenery and its conservation is not only a. objective of the government but of the entire European Union, said. Efstathios Stathopoulos, Greece's General Secretary of Forestry.
The EU has a strategy to replant 3 billion trees throughout the bloc. by 2030, although the plan is not concentrated on replanting after. fires.
Not everyone believes resowing forests after fires works.
Theodore Giannaros, a fire meteorologist at the National. Observatory of Athens, surveilled a hillside outside Athens. blackened by last month's fire.
Next year, he said, the ground there, currently baking in. summer, will be even hotter for the absence of shade. The loss of. tree root systems will make the soil looser, increasing the danger. of floods or landslides, he said. There will be more dust.
Less flammable vegetation like some kinds of turfs or. agricultural land is the response, not trees, he said.
We have to seriously concentrate on how to bring back the landscape,. not just planting trees and forests, however in a way that will. be ... more durable versus natural catastrophes.
Fernando Pulido, teacher of forestry science at the. University of Extremadura in Spain, advised planting crops. or creating other barriers between dense forests in the. Mediterranean region.
This involves a modification in mentality ... however it's the only. method to guarantee that there won't be another fire at the very same. place after eight or 10 years, he stated.
THE FALLOUT
Meanwhile, areas previously untouched by fires are being. hit.
Thodoris Arvanitis has actually been a natural farmer on a 100-acre. plot in a woody location north of Athens for 35 years. He had actually a. school for aiming farmers, living quarters for employees, and. rows of polytunnels for his fruit and vegetables.
Last month, most of what he developed - up to 1 million euros of. devices and crops - was burned by the fire. Now, the sheet. metal of a gutted farmhouse clatters in the wind. A line of. newly planted fig trees is wiped out; stacks of charred. potatoes have actually been delegated rot.
Not all the crops were lost, and Arvanitis plans to reconstruct. On a current afternoon, personnel bagged up aubergines, french beans. and melons for delivery to consumers.
But he had a hard time to include his feelings when he talked. about the blaze, which was brought towards his home on the. surrounding trees. Without any assistance from the fire brigade, he. depended on other residents to help that day.
We were putting out fires occasionally. However new ones kept. breaking out. At some point we could not do anything more. The. fire was right outside our farm..
(source: Reuters)