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EU crop display cuts maize forecast again due to heat in southeast

Crop tracking service MARS on Monday cut most of its typical grain yield forecasts for the European Union this year, with another sharp decrease for maize as heat continues to take a toll on crops in southeast Europe.

Forecasters have been reducing their forecasts for the upcoming EU maize crop primarily due to hot weather in Romania, which previously vied with France as the EU's biggest maize manufacturer.

In a regular monthly report, MARS pegged the typical 2024 maize yield at 7.03 metric tons per hectare (t/ha), below 7.24 t/ha in July and now 6% below last year.

Summer season crops were especially badly impacted in regions where the hot conditions accompanied restricted water accessibility, as was typically the case in Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria and Greece, MARS said.

In-depth estimates showed that MARS cut its forecast for Romania's maize yield to 3.83 t/ha from 4.08 in July, now 18%. below in 2015, and decreased the Hungarian yield to 6.46 t/ha,. against 6.77 t/ha last month, 21% listed below in 2015.

Temperature levels in Romania were on average 2.0-- 3.5 degrees. Celsius greater than usual in most of the country, making this. the warmest July 1-- Aug. 17 period in MARS records, it said.

Warmer-than-usual conditions were anticipated to continue this. week in lots of parts of Europe, with temperature levels up to 8 degrees. Celsius above the 1991-- 2023 long-lasting average in parts of. southern Hungary, Serbia and eastern Ukraine, MARS said.

The office likewise cut its typical yield projection for EU soft. wheat, the most produced cereal in the bloc, to 5.68 t/ha from. 5.87 t/ha forecasted last month and 2% listed below last year. Total. barley yields (winter season and spring) were seen at 5.01 t/ha, down. from 5.09 t/ha in July, however still 8% above 2023.

The poor efficiency of winter cereals (in specific soft. wheat and winter season barley), is primarily due to exceedingly damp. conditions that affected big parts of western and northern. Europe, MARS stated.

In Baltic nations, extreme rainfall minimized grain quality. while frequent rain hindered gathering in northern France,. Benelux nations and north-western Germany, where winter crops. had already been impacted by wet conditions for most of the. season.

The typical soft wheat yield in France, the EU's largest. grower of the cereal which was particularly struck by damp weather condition,. is now anticipated at 6.20 t/ha, down from 6.75 t/ha in July and. 16% below 2023, MARS said.

In oilseeds, MARS cut the rapeseed yield this year to 3.07. t/ha, from 3.10 t/ha forecast last month and now 3% listed below last. year, while it left its forecast for sugar beet at 73.4 t/ha, in. line with the five-year average.

(source: Reuters)