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Central banks and global markets focus on Iran ceasefire report.

Central banks and global markets focus on Iran ceasefire report.

Investors were encouraged by reports that Iran is seeking to end hostilities against Israel and they remained confident about their predictions for the busy week of central banks meetings.

The Wall Street Journal reported that Iran is seeking a ceasefire following an attack by Israel on Friday, which sparked fears of a wider conflict and sent oil prices soaring. Stocks also fell as a result.

Sources have confirmed that Iran asked regional allies press Donald Trump, the U.S. president, to convince Israel to accept a ceasefire.

Geopolitics loomed large, and there were signs of cracks among the Group of Seven leaders who are meeting in Canada. Officials made contradictory statements on whether Trump would sign the draft statement that called for a de-escalation in the Middle East conflict.

Peter Cardillo is the Chief Market Economist of Spartan Capital Securities, a New York-based brokerage.

The market has rallied on this, I believe.

After a wild session on Friday, Brent crude oil futures settled down at $73.23 a barrel, a loss of $1.00 or 1.35 %.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.75% in afternoon trading. This was just a little bit below the morning highs. The S&P 500 rose 0.90%, while the Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.45%.

The 10-year Treasury note yield rose from 4.424% to 4.452% late Friday, after initially falling due to reports about Iran's outreach towards Israel.

MSCI's global stock index rose 1.09% after the U.S. opening and continued to rise on the day, closing at 0.85%.

The STOXX 600 index in Europe was boosted earlier in the day by a recovery in travel stocks. Gulf stocks were also up.

Data showed that retail sales and industrial production were in line with expectations.

FED MEETING IN FOCUS - MORE DATA TO COME

Emily Roland, Manulife John Hancock Investments' co-chief investment analyst, says that a prolonged increase in oil prices may contribute to inflation. However, the recent movements are unlikely to have a significant impact on the Federal Reserve meeting scheduled for Wednesday.

Roland explained that the Fed relies on data and it can take time for oil prices to impact inflation figures (whether they are higher or lower).

The Fed is likely to keep the markets on hold with no change in the Fed's view that there will be between 2 and 3 rate cuts of 0.25 percent by the end the year. The bond market still prices in two rate cuts for the year. We will see if we get a different result this week.

The U.S. Retail Sales data will be released on Tuesday. It may show that auto sales are down, which could drag the headline figure down, even though core sales have increased. The weekly unemployment claims are released on Wednesday due to a market holiday on Thursday.

This week, the central banks of Norway and Sweden will also be meeting. The latter is expected to lower rates.

It is expected that the Swiss National Bank will meet on Thursday. The rate cut is likely to be at least one quarter point, if not more. There's a chance the rate could even go down to negative due to the strength of Swiss Franc.

Bank of Japan policy meeting is scheduled for Tuesday. Rates are expected to remain at 0.5%. However, the possibility of tightening rates later in the year remains.

It is also possible that it will slow down the sale of its government bonds in the next fiscal year.

Gold fell 1.24%, to $3389.71 per ounce.

(source: Reuters)